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South Africa’s rand weaker as investors see higher U.S. rates

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JOHANNESBURG (Reuters) – South Africa’s rand hovered near a one-week low versus the dollar on Friday, on increased bets by investors that a U.S. interest rate hike is on the cards this year.

* Rand falls to session low of 13.9425, weakest since Sept 30, and trades 0.31 percent softer at 13.9350/dollar by 0655 GMT compared with Thursday’s close.

* Currency largely unmoved by central bank data showing South Africa’s net foreign reserves rose to $41.953 billion in September from $40.795 billion the previous month.

* Government debt also weakens across the curve, and yield for 10-year paper rises 3 basis points to 8.745 percent.

* South African bourse likely to open weaker, with blue chip futures index dipping 0.39 percent.

 

(Reporting by Stella Mapenzauswa; editing by John Stonestreet)

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OPEC could cut output more than Algiers deal if needed: Algeria minister

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ALGIERS (Reuters) – OPEC could cut production at its November meeting in Vienna by another one percent more than the amount agreed in Algiers last month, if producers evaluate it is needed, Algeria’s Energy Minister Nouredine Bouterfa has told local Ennahar TV.

“We will evaluate the market in Vienna by the end of November and if 700,000 barrels are not enough, we will go up. Now that OPEC is unified and speaks in one voice everything is much easier and if we need to cut by 1 percent, we will cut by 1 percent,” he told Ennahar in an interview to be broadcast later on Thursday.

 

(Reporting by Lamine Chikhi; writing by Patrick Markey. Editing by Jane Merriman)

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Egypt stocks up on strategic commodities ahead of devaluation

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By Eric Knecht and Maha El Dahan

CAIRO/ABU DHABI (Reuters) – Egypt said it plans to build a six month reserve of essential food items, adding to other recent purchases of commodities such as oil and wheat, in what traders said was a move to build up stocks ahead of a currency devaluation.

Prime Minister Sherif Ismail said late on Tuesday the country would look to import 500,000 tonnes of rice and 400,000 tonnes of sugar to boost reserves and keep prices in the domestic market down.

The statement came after state grain buyer GASC announced three separate tenders in the space of one day for wheat, vegetable oils and sugar.

“I would definitely say that the current plan does appear to be stocking up on imported stocks before a devaluation. We’re seeing this happening in sugar, rice, beans, and the current campaign in wheat,” one Cairo-based commodities trader said, echoing several others who spoke to Reuters.

GASC declined to comment on the issue.

Egypt, the world’s largest wheat importer, operates a massive food subsidy programme to sell essential items to the country’s poorest citizens.

“We’ve received numerous inquiries from different government agencies – some military as well – and they seem quite eager to get their hands on commodities,” the trader said.

Pressure has been mounting on Egypt’s central bank to devalue its currency as the country contends with an acute dollar shortage brought on by the flight of tourists and foreign investors, major sources of hard currency that fled after the 2011 uprising.

Speculation is rife that the bank could devalue the pound in coming days to close a widening gap with the black market rate, which has ticked up to more than 14 pounds to the dollar in recent days compared with the official rate of 8.8 pounds.

Essential commodities purchased by the government are among the few items that receive dollar allocations at the official rate, with the vast majority of importers forced to resort to the more expensive black market.

The additional imports are part of an “urgent plan to guarantee the stability of strategic stocks of essential food items and ensure there is at least six months in stock at all times,” a cabinet statement said.

While some traders saw the recent uptick in government tenders as proof of an impending devaluation, others said the government’s campaign may be too late, with goods likely to arrive in Egypt after a possible rate cut or currency flotation.

“Unfortunately stocks are only built with executed contracts and not with confirmed ones,” another Cairo-based trader said.

The dash to fill stocks comes as prices have been climbing on commodities such as sugar and rice in recent weeks, partly due to shortages in the domestic market, traders told Reuters.

Sugar is trading locally at almost double its price from two months ago and quantities available to the private sector have been severely limited, one trader said.

 

(Reporting by Eric Knecht and Maha El Dahan. Editing by Jane Merriman and Louise Heavens)

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Strategic approach to regulation can boost SME exports: ITC

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By Tom Miles

GENEVA (Reuters) – Governments have a massive opportunity to boost national trade if they think strategically about how standards and regulations help or hinder SMEs to export, the Geneva-based International Trade Centre (ITC) said in a report published on Thursday.

“If you want to maximise your chances of getting your share of international trade, you need to be very strategic about where is the potential that you are not tapping into,” the ITC’s Executive Director Arancha Gonzalez told Reuters.

“The government has a possibility to open the door for businesses to follow, rather than the government following the regulatory framework of businesses that are trying to swim in this current by themselves.”

The ITC, a joint agency of the United Nations and the World Trade Organization that helps SMEs to trade, says its 300-page report, “Meeting the standard for trade”, offers a guide for small businesses and an action plan for governments.

Standards and regulations are key to competitiveness and one of the defining elements of trade in the 21st century, Gonzalez said, as consumers become more and more savvy and picky about where products come from and what they contain.

“Consumers are asking for more sophisticated standards. This is a huge challenge for SMEs, for governments, and for institutions. The option of no standards or lower standards is not an option,” Gonzalez said.

Standards are diverse. They determine whether a plug fits into a socket, whether a medicine can be sold, and whether we can understand foreign traffic signs. Regulations can mean safety rules for food or cars, or privacy rules for data storage. In all cases governments need to back the rules up with testing and certification.

The report identifies areas where countries are underperforming their export potential, which standards and regulations they should target to meet that potential, and what investments are needed.

There is an opportunity for trade in processed and fresh food within the Middle East and North Africa, for example, where the number of technical regulations for fresh food imports is four times higher than in other regions, Gonzalez said.

“There is no internal trade because the manner in which they are regulating is hugely burdensome. So they don’t trade with each other, they only trade with the rest of the world.”

Countries in the region could increase food exports to each other by $7.6 billion and to developing countries in Asia by $16.5 billion, the report said.

The Asia-Pacific region could export $400 billion more in IT and consumer electronics, and $1.7 trillion more overall, and had strong potential to diversify into chemicals exports, the report said.

Meeting standards can open markets and raise prices, but Gonzalez said governments should “craft” regulation with SMEs in mind, since smaller firms make up 98 percent of businesses and their ability to trade suffers disproportionately from red tape.

“A 10 percent increase in the regulatory burden means 1.6 percent less trade for large companies but 3.2 percent less trade for SMEs,” she said.

 

(Reporting by Tom Miles; Editing by Toby Chopra)

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Zimbabwe losing $1 billion a year to corruption – report

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HARARE (Reuters) – Zimbabwe is losing at least $1 billion annually to corruption, with police and local government officials among the worst offenders, Transparency International said in a report on Tuesday.

Social media groups like #ThisFlag and #Tajamuka have cited corruption in President Robert Mugabe’s government and police roadblocks where money is taken from motorists as among the main reasons for protests that have rocked the southern African nation in the last few months.

Transparency International Zimbabwe (TIZ) said the police, local councils, the vehicle inspection department that issues driving licences and the education department were among the most corrupt institutions.

“The resulting institutionalisation and systematisation of corruption in Zimbabwean political and economic spheres has been extensive,” TIZ said.

“It would be surprising if the value (of corruption) were less than $1 billion annually.”

Police spokeswoman Charity Charamba said she could not immediately comment.

Critics and the opposition accuse Mugabe of failing to tackle high-level graft and say endemic corruption is one reason foreign companies are hesitant to invest in the country.

Mugabe has at times admitted to corruption among his cabinet ministers but says police lack the evidence to prosecute.

“It could be true there could be corruption but we don’t have people who are prepared to give evidence,” Information Minister Christopher Mushohwe said in response to questions about the report.

“Give us the evidence and the law will take its course.”

Zimbabwe was last year ranked 150th out of 168 countries on the Transparency International index, which measures public perceptions of corruption in public institutions.

Corruption mainly consists of public officials demanding bribes for basic services like installing an electricity metre, approving a house plan to facilitating investment.

Zimbabwe’s tax authority in May suspended its head and five managers in connection with the purchase of luxury cars that were undervalued by a local dealer, one of few high-ranking graft cases to be made public in recent years.

 

(Reporting by MacDonald Dzirutwe; Editing by Joe Brock and Hugh Lawson)

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Tunisia cuts growth outlook to 1.5 pct vs previous 2.5 pct

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TUNIS (Reuters) – Tunisia has cut its 2016 growth forecast to 1.5 percent this year, down from an expected 2.5 percent, its finance minister said on Wednesday, citing difficulties in the phosphate sector where protests have disrupted production.

“According to the complementary law for the 2016 budget, growth will be at 1.5 percent this year due to a decline in economic activity in several sectors including phosphate,” Finance Minister Lamia Zribi told reporters.

Growth in 2015 was only 0.8 pct after Islamist militant attacks hit the tourism sector that represents around 8 percent of the gross domestic product.

The country’s vital phosphate exports have been disrupted by strikes and protests by unemployed youth seeking jobs, costing the state tens of millions of dollars in lost revenue.

Tunisia produced 4 million tonnes of phosphate last year and output for the first six months of 2016 was at 1.86 million tonnes, according to the energy ministry. It produced about 8.26 million tonnes of phosphate in 2010. But output dropped after its 2011 revolution.

Tunisian Prime Minister Youssef Chahed told Reuters last week growth will 3 percent next year, helped by a package of reforms aimed at shoring up the new democracy won in the 2011 revolution with economic gains.

 

(Reporting By Tarek Amara; editing by Patrick Markey)

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Fall in South African inflation seen temporary – cbank governor

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JOHANNESBURG (Reuters) – The South African central bank governor said on Tuesday the decline in consumer inflation to within the bank’s target range of 3-6 percent is expected to be temporary and that there is no room for complacency in monetary policy.

“We have, however, benefited in recent months from movements in from some global and domestic factors that have aided downward revisions to our inflation forecast,” Reserve Bank Governor Lesetja Kganyago said in a speech delivered in New York and posted on the bank’s website.

“We also know that the positive factors underlying the more favourable outlook can change very quickly, and therefore there is no room for complacency.”

 

(Reporting by Olivia Kumwenda-Mtambo; editing by Mark Heinrich)

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Africa could be significant LNG importer by 2025 -Total

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CAPE TOWN (Reuters) – Africa could become a significant global market for imported liquefied natural gas (LNG) by 2025, with Egypt the main driver, as more countries eye gas-to-power projects, a senior official at Total said on Tuesday.

With hundreds of millions of people living without electricity in the world’s poorest continent, African countries are increasingly turning to gas to take advantage of lower global LNG prices amid a supply glut.

“It could be collectively a 20 to 30 million tonnes per year market by 2025,” Tom Earl, vice president of gas and power development at the French oil major, told Reuters on the sidelines of a gas conference in Cape Town.

He said Egypt could be importing between 15 million-20 million tonnes annually within a decade, although actual volumes would depend on the development of its huge Zohr gas field, which had an estimated 30 trillion cubic feet of gas.

West Africa was seen importing 5 million tonnes a year, Southern Africa 4 million and Morocco 2 million tonnes by 2025, Earl said.

Egypt aims to import between 110 and 120 cargos of liquefied natural gas in 2017, the state-owned Egyptian Natural Gas Holding company (EGAS) said in June.

“Africa really is going to take a central role, the projects may be typically of smaller scale, but nevertheless they will collectively be very important,” said Earl.

He said Total was focusing on gas-to-power projects around the world and wanted to develop downstream markets to increase the uptake of gas, which is seen as a cleaner alternative to harmful coal-fired plants.

“Total is willing to invest further downstream and that’s important for us because it is developing future demand, future markets,” he said.

He said Total was considering all aspects of South Africa’s plans to build two gas-to-power projects with a combined 3,126 megawatt capacity to diversify electricity production away from more environmentally damaging coal plants.

The projects, estimated to cost around 50 billion rand ($3.7 bln), will initially require about 1.6 million tonnes of imported gas.

Preferred bidders are expected to be announced early next year.

($1 = 13.5782 rand)

 

(Reporting by Wendell Roelf; Editing by Susan Fenton)

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Chinese company to spend $20 billion developing second phase of Egypt’s new capital

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CAIRO (Reuters) – China Fortune Land Development Co. Ltd. (CFLD) has signed a deal to develop and manage 14,000 acres (5,700 hectares) of Egypt’s new administrative capital at a cost of $20 billion, the Egyptian cabinet said in a statement on Monday.

The development, which will include homes and offices and all relevant infrastructure, will take place in the second phase of construction of the new capital east of Cairo.

The new capital is one of a series of mega-projects announced by President Abdel Fattah al-Sisi designed to attract foreign investment and create jobs in a country with a booming population of 91 million.

Heralding a new era of closer political and economic ties, China in January signed 21 investment and aid deals worth billions of dollars with Egypt during a visit by President Xi Jinping.

Among the development and infrastructure investments was a deal to build the new capital’s first phase, which Egypt has said will cost some $45 billion.

The new capital, planned to be the size of Singapore, is due to have an airport larger than London’s Heathrow, a building taller than Paris’s Eiffel Tower, and more than 10,000 km (6,200 miles) of streets and avenues.

 

(Reporting by Ali Abdelatti; writing by Amina Ismail; Editing by Kevin Liffey)

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General Electric to invest $150 mln in Nigeria

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By Ulf Laessing

LONDON (Reuters) – U.S. industrial firm General Electric plans to invest around $150 million in Nigeria by 2017, a senior executive said on Monday.

“There are development projects where we are investing,” Jay Ireland, chief executive of General Electric in Africa told the FT Africa Summit in London. GE would also invest in oil and gas industry projects.

Growth in Nigeria – an OPEC member whose economy, the largest in Africa, is in recession for the first time in more than 20 years due to low oil prices – has been stunted for decades by a lack of investment in its road and rail network.

Ireland said the Nigeria investment was part of a plan to spend $2 billion in Africa in coming years.

But the $150 million Nigerian investment falls short of the sum Nigeria’s government has said GE would invest.

President Muhammadu Buhari, on Saturday in a speech marking Nigeria’s independence day, said GE was “investing $2.2 billion in a concession to revamp, provide rolling stock, and manage” some of the country’s railway lines.

 

 

(Writing by Ulf Laessing and Alexis Akwagyiram, editing by William Hardy)

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