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South Africa’s January headline CPI rises to 6.2% year-on-year

17 February 2016 Comments (0) Africa, Business, Latest Updates from Reuters

JOHANNESBURG (Reuters) – South Africa’s headline consumer inflation quickened more than expected to 6.2 percent year-on-year in January, compared with 5.2 percent in December, data from Statistics South Africa showed on Wednesday.

On a month-on-month basis, prices rose 0.8 percent compared with an increase of 0.3 percent in the previous month.

Core inflation, which excludes the prices of food, non-alcoholic beverages, petrol and energy, edged up to 5.6 percent year-on-year in January from 5.2 percent in the previous month, while also rising to 0.7 percent month-on-month.

The consensus for January headline CPI was 5.93 percent, according to a Reuters poll.

 

(Reporting by Olivia Kumwenda-Mtambo; Editing by James Macharia)

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Kenya replaces Mombasa port management amid smuggling probe

16 February 2016 Comments (0) Africa, Business, Latest Updates from Reuters

NAIROBI (Reuters) – Kenya Ports Authority said on Monday it had replaced senior managers at Mombasa port in response to pressure to tackle drug and ivory smuggling at East Africa’s main trade gateway.

Masden Madoka, the port’s chairman, said managing director Gichiri Ndua and five other senior managers had been sent into early retirement and several others were likely to follow.

There are no suggestions any of the six were directly involved in smuggling, though Madoka said investigations into corruption were ongoing.

“There have been complaints levelled against the KPA (Kenyan Ports Authority) and it was time such drastic action was taken,” he told journalists.

Ndua could not be reached for comment, despite several attempts to contact him by telephone.

The Indian Ocean port is a vital artery for East African trade, handling fuel and other imports for landlocked neighbours including Uganda and South Sudan. The region’s main exports, tea and coffee, are also shipped out of Mombasa.

Western diplomats say it is also the main exit point for ivory poached in East Africa and smuggled to Asia, and has become a key entry point of Afghan heroin bound for Europe via East Africa.

Officials of the port and other government agencies there have faced frequent and widespread accusations of colluding with rogue importers and exporters, depriving Kenya of tax revenues.

While there have been no convictions, the port has become a focal point for a campaign by President Uhuru Kenyatta to boost economic growth by improving efficiency and fighting criminal cartels.

Madoka said Catherine Muturi, who was the port’s general manager for finance and administration, has been appointed acting managing director.

In another effort to curb smuggling, Madoka also said all transit cargo coming through Mombasa would be cleared within the port. At present, some containers bound for outside Kenya are cleared at privately run container freight stations located outside the port.

The government shut down two such stations last month.

 

(By Joseph Akwiri. Writing by Drazen Jorgic; editing by John Stonestreet)

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South Africa’s Impala Platinum sees up to 20% fall in H1 profits

15 February 2016 Comments (0) Africa, Business, Latest Updates from Reuters

JOHANNESBURG (Reuters) – South Africa’s Impala Platinum said on Monday it expected half-year profits to fall by as much as 20 percent due to lower rand prices for its main commodity.

Headline earnings per share – a measure of profit which strips off certain one-off items – will be between 50 cents and 59 cents, a decline of between 20 percent and 10 percent.

Impala, the world No. 2 producer of the metal used for emissions-capping catalytic converters in cars, said the rand prices for platinum are down 15 percent compared to a year earlier causing the decline in profits.

Shares in Implats, which have more than halved in value over the last year, fell 0.74 percent to 35 rand by 1500 GMT.

 

(Reporting by Zandi Shabalala; Editing by James Macharia)

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Ugandan police arrest opposition leader Besigye, fire teargas

15 February 2016 Comments (0) Africa, Latest Updates from Reuters, Politics

KAMPALA (Reuters) – Ugandan police on Monday arrested opposition leader Kizza Besigye and fired teargas to disperse hundreds of his supporters in capital Kampala, a witness said, in a move likely to stoke tensions ahead of Thursday’s presidential election.

Besigye was arrested after the police asked him and his supporters to use a different route during their march into central Kampala, according to a witness at the rally.

“They wanted him to use another road which was far away from where he wanted to go. Police then started firing teargas and arrested (Besigye) with two other opposition leaders,” said the witness.

 

(Writing by Drazen Jorgic; Editing by Toby Chopra)

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Rail projects for Middle East, North Africa total $350 billion

15 February 2016 Comments (1) Africa, Business, Featured, Middle East

high speed rail saudi arabia

The region is experiencing a boom in development of railways to drive economic growth and benefit the environment. 

High-speed rail travel is on a fast track in the Middle East and Northern Africa. More than $350 billion in rail projects are under way in the region.

The estimate represents major rail projects in 16 countries, according to Terrapinn Middle East, which is organizing the 10th annual Middle East Rail conference in Dubai March 8 and 9.

Rail travel has become increasingly appealing in the region as a greener alternative to auto or air travel.

While the United Arab Emirates recently delayed work on a high-speed rail project, other governments that are facing budget deficits because of the oil glut prioritize rail projects as a way to improve trade and increase tourism to boost their economies.

Saudi Arabia builds high-speed line

One of these countries, Saudi Arabia accounts for about one third of the total spending with projects totaling $118.9 billion.

A major Saudi project is the $55 million Haramain high-speed rail project, which will connect the holy cities of Mecca and Medina with Jeddah, the country’s commercial capital and second largest city. Following delays, it is expected to begin operations in early 2017.

Kingdom wants to boost religious tourism

The Saudis see rail development as key to the nation’s ambitions to attract more tourists, especially to the holy sites.

The Saudi kingdom drew 16 million tourists in 2014 and wants to double that number by 2030, according Fadh Al Rasheed, group CEO of King Abdullah Economic City.

The Saudis also are building a $12 billion four-line commuter rail network in Jeddah as well as a $22 billion six-line network in the capital of Riyadh.

UAE project sees delays, staff reductions

While most projects are moving forward in spite of financial problems brought on by sharp reductions in oil prices, the United Arab Emirates in January suspended the bidding process for the second stage of its $11 billion Etihad Rail project and cut a third of its workforce. A project spokesman said the aim was to streamline operations before moving forward with bids.

Terrapinn said United Arab Emirates planned on spending $27 billion for metro rail, a tram and long-distance freight and passenger rail.

ethiad rail

Gulf States plan integrated network

Saudi Arabia and the UAE have agreed with four fellow states in the Gulf Cooperative Council to build an integrated high-speed rail network linking their countries by 2018 at a total estimated cost of $200 billion. The other partner nations are Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman and Qatar.

The goal is to create an efficient regional network of freight and passenger rail lines.

The railway network will yield environmental benefits for the region and create new jobs while reducing dependence on more expensive air or auto travel, according to Feras Shadid, a rail asset management consultant.

According to Terrapinn Bahrain has allocated $12.9 billion for rail; Kuwait, $17 billion, Oman, $16 billion, and Qatar, $46.7 billion.

China will help Iran build a high-speed line

With the lifting of sanctions, Iran is planning to develop a high-speed rail line linking the cities of Tehran, Qom and Isfahan. Terrapinn said Iran plans to spend $24.6 billion on rail projects.

China last month agreed to give Iran financial help with its high-speed rail line as part of an agreement to significantly increase trade to $600 billion in the next 10 years. China also wants to build a high-speed line linking the two countries.

Algeria, Egypt and Morocco plan rail development

Algeria, with a Terrapinn estimate of $34.4 billion, is developing light rail systems in Algiers, Oran and Constantine. While the projects have been delayed because of lost oil revenues, they are currently expected to be fully operational by 2020.

Egypt, with an estimate of $30.9 billion in spending, has projects including $1.5 billion to build a rail line linking 6th of October City to Cairo.

Morocco has an estimated $10 billion in projects, including a high-speed rail line that will connect Tangiers to Casablanca.

Farther south, Nigeria has $75 billion in rail projects, according to Terrapinn. High-speed rail service between Abuja and Kaduna is scheduled to begin operations in March. The line has nine stations.

Terrapinn also listed the following countries and their rail spending: Djibouti and Ethiopia ($4 billion shared), Iraq ($14 billion), Jordan ($3.8 billion), Lebanon ($500 million).

Major rail convention planned in March

Terrapinn released the estimates in advance of Middle East Rail 2016, the largest conference and expo devoted to rail projects in the region.

About 9,000 rail operators, government officials and contractors are expected to attend the March 8-9 event at the Dubai International Exhibition & Convention Centre. The expo will feature 300 exhibitors.

High-speed rails, or “bullet trains,” travel at significantly faster speeds than traditional trains. They can reach speeds of up to 350 kilometers per hour. They have been developed in Europe and East Asia.

Meanwhile, the boom in rail construction in the Middle East has caused worker shortages in other parts of the world.

For example, officials in Chennai, India said they have trained rail workers only to see them leave for higher paying jobs in the Middle East during the last two years, causing interruptions and delays.

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Nigeria in talks with oil majors to repay debt, invest in refineries

15 February 2016 Comments (0) Africa, Business, Latest Updates from Reuters

ABUJA (Reuters) – Nigeria is in talks with oil majors and banks to raise capital for new drilling and to repay up to $4 billion in debt that the state oil firm has accumulated over years of mismanagement, the firm’s head told Reuters.

Emmanuel Ibe Kachikwu, who is also the minister of state for petroleum, said he wanted to increase output to up to 2.5 million barrels per day by the end of 2016. Currently, the OPEC member pumps 2.3 million bpd.

President Muhammadu Buhari has made reforming the oil sector a priority as a slump in oil prices hammers the economy. The former military ruler has fired the NNPC board and appointed Kachikwu to overhaul a company whose opaque structures have allowed corruption and oil theft to flourish.

Nigeria’s oil and gas output has been relatively stagnant as big offshore projects have been held up by much-delayed government funding and uncertainty over fiscal terms.

Africa’s biggest economy produces oil with foreign and local firms through production-sharing contracts and joint ventures (JVs) but investments have been held up because NNPC has been unable to pay its part: bills have been piling up since 2012.

Kachikwu said debt as of November stood at $3.5-$4 billion, which NNPC wanted to cut through deals such as a $1.2 billion multi-year drilling financing signed with Chevron in September.

“The target is that over 2017, we’ll begin to look at zero,” he said in an interview, referring to debt and the goal of ending the need for JVs to depend on NNPC cash.

NNPC was in talks with oil majors such as Italy’s Eni and oil traders Vitol and Gunvor, seeking partnerships to revamp assets such as refineries after decades of neglect. Cash-strapped for years, it reported a loss of 267.14 billion naira ($1.3 billion) for 2015.

“My ideal would be to bring in third party capital, do a joint investment and management of the refineries and work out a pay-out process over 5 to 6 years basically on lifting of some portion of the finished products,” Kachikwu said.

He added that the government would also advertise concessions for pipelines and depots next month.

 

RAISING FUNDS

NNPC was also looking into revamping joint ventures with local firms to boost productivity but this would depend on the Petroleum Industry Bill (PIB), a project to revamp the sector held up in parliament for years.

Kachikwu said NNPC was in talks with the Senate to speed up the process by splitting the PIB into three parts covering governance, taxation and business items such as oil block licensing.

NNPC would also restructure strategic alliance agreements held by Atlantic Energy to raise funds for oil blocks sold by Royal Dutch Shell.

The controversial deals were signed under the previous oil minister Diezani Alison-Madueke, who was briefly arrested in London last year on suspicion of corruption. [nL5N1223TQ]

Former central bank governor Lamido Sanusi alleged that Atlantic’s deals were one route through which tens of billions of dollars in oil revenues were diverted from state finances.

Kachikwu said NNPC expected to conclude a deal within two months for a new partner to pay up to $1.3 billion to take over the Atlantic agreements. The blocks were originally sold to indigenous oil companies by Shell.

“I’m saying to Atlantic, sorry, you’re out because there’s been a breach,” he said. “Whoever comes in has to give a sign-in fee almost equivalent to what I’ve lost … we’ll have a massive increase in volume out of those fields, we’re going to have 150,000 to 200,000 bpd from the current 40,000 to 50,000 bpd.”

 

(Reporting by Julia Payne; Editing by Ulf Laessing and Ruth Pitchford)

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Economic Freedom in Africa

13 February 2016 Comments (0) Africa, Business, Featured

Lagos (1)

According to US think tank The Heritage Foundation and the Wall Street Journal, Mauritius, Botswana and Cape Verde are the most “economically free” countries on the African continent

At the beginning of each year, the Wall Street Journal and The Heritage Foundation release their economic freedom index, ranking countries from the most economically free to least economically free. Economic freedom is defined as the fundamental right of every human to control her or his labor or property. In an economically free society, citizens are free to work, produce, consume and invest in whatever way they see fit, and labor, capital and goods are able to move freely without undue restrictions. The index is based upon a total of 10 indicators divided into four broad groups: rule of law (property rights and freedom from corruption); limited governance (government spending and fiscal freedom); regulatory efficiency (business freedom, labor freedom and monetary freedom); and open markets (trade freedom, investment freedom and financial freedom).

Africa and the Economic Freedom Index for 2016

There are no African economies ranked as “free”, but two fall into the “mostly free” category. Mauritius was ranked 15th out of 178 with a score of 74.7 out of 100. Mauritius also has the distinction of being Africa’s only full democracy, although the newly-elected government (2014) has been accused of using anti-corruption policies to unfairly target members of the former government. Property rights are respected, meaning that the government does not unfairly seize land from citizens or other property owners. The budget deficit is under control, and public debt accounts for approximately 50% of the GDP (a level comparable to Switzerland in 2011). Notable successes are open markets and regulatory efficiency while concerns are property rights and labor freedom.

Botswana ranked second in Sub Saharan Africa with a score of 71.1 and global ranking of 30. Thanks to foreign investment, Botswana’s economy has diversified and is predicted to continue to do so. Botswana is also home to a large amount of natural resources and is a prime example responsible natural resource management because it does not rely upon a single industry to support its economy. Furthermore, Botswana has the most transparent government and lowest rates of corruption in Africa, which is notable given their natural resources (compared to Nigeria, which has a huge amount of oil, but most of the potential positive externalities are absorbed through endemic corruption). Notable successes are open markets and fiscal freedom while concerns are corruption, management of public finances and regulatory efficiency.

Moderately Free

Cape Verde

Cape Verde

Coming in third for Africa is the small island nation of Cape Verde, with a ranking of 66.5, which puts it in the “moderately free” category, and global ranking of 57. With a relatively strong rule of law, Cape Verde has been able to transition to a more open and diverse economy. Property rights are highly respected and the nation has done a good job of reigning in corruption and enhancing the quality of the regulatory system. Rule of law and open markets are marked successes for Cape Verde, while management of public spending and labor freedom are areas of concern.

There are 7 other “moderately free” countries in Sub Saharan Africa: Rwanda (63.1); Ghana (63); Seychelles (62.2); South Africa (61.9); Namibia (61.9); Madagascar (61.1); and Cote d’Ivoire (60).

The most oft cited areas of success are in the expansion of trade freedom and the increase in the efficiency of regulatory systems; areas of concern are in the freedom (or lack thereof) from corruption and property rights.

“Mostly Unfree”

Fourteen of Sub-Saharan Africa’s countries are ranked as “mostly unfree”.

Swaziland is the freest of the mostly unfree with a ranking of 59.7. This tiny landlocked country rests within South Africa’s borders and is a relatively impoverished monarchy. Political parties are banned, and the most recent elections (2013) were declared not credible by international watchdogs. Economic opportunities are few, and the economy relies heavily upon the tourism sector. Reasons for this low ranking are the stagnation of the economy, ongoing civil unrest that frequently becomes violent, high levels of corruption, mismanagement of public finance and an inefficient regulatory system. Swaziland’s successes were cited as monetary freedom and trade freedom, while concerns were listed as rule of law, management of public finances and financial freedom.

Coming in behind Swaziland are Benin (59.3); Uganda (59.3); Burkina Faso (59.1); Gabon (59); Zambia (58.8); Tanzania (58.5); Senegal (58.1); Kenya (57.5); Nigeria (57.5); The Gambia (57.1); Sao Tome and Principe (56.7); Mali (56.5); Djibouti (56) and Mauritania (54.8); Niger Cameroon Burundi (53.9); Togo (53.6); Guinea (53.3); Mozambique (53.2); Comoros (52.4); Sierra Leone (52.3); Liberia (52.2); Guinea-Bissau (51.8); Malawi (51.8); Ethiopia (51.5); Lesotho (50.6);

The main concerns in these areas are rule of law, corruption, management of public finance and regulatory efficiency. These countries are moderately to severely impoverished, and economic opportunity is low for much of their populations. Pervasive corruption makes institutional change challenging, and low levels of confidence in the government and economic sector are not encouraging.

The Bottom Eight: Repressed

Sub Saharan Africa has 8 of the world’s 24 most repressed economies: Angola (48.9); Democratic Republic of the Congo (46.4); Chad (46.3); Central African Republic (45.2); Equatorial Guinea (43.7) Republic of Congo (42.8); Eritrea (42.7) and Zimbabwe (38.2)

Angola is ranked 155th out of the world’s 178 ranked states, while Zimbabwe is a dismal 175th. These repressed countries have myriad problems that prevent development: on-going civil war, deeply embedded corruption, abuse of natural resources, mismanagement of development aid and massive rates of unemployment all prohibit economic development in these countries. While there have been a few areas of notable success (monetary freedom in the Central African Republic and Equatorial Guinea, for instance) several of these countries do not have a single notable success.

Economic Freedom: Winners and Losers

As with most global indicators, some nations simply cannot be ranked: this year, much of the Middle East that is currently mired in the ISIS conflict was considered unrankable, as were Sudan and Somalia (Africa’s notoriously failed states). It is, as always, the citizens of these countries that suffer from lack of economic development. Millions of individuals are at the whim of their too-often unfairly elected leaders, and buying into systems of corruption is the only visible way out of the swamp of poverty. For citizens of Zimbabwe, economic repression has continued for generations, and hope for change dwindles with each fraudulent election. The international community has few suggestions for these nations, as existing modes of economic development are clearly ineffective. Hopefully, as time moves slowly forward, these nations will develop their own way into the world of economic interconnectedness.

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ArcelorMittal South Africa seeks power producer to build new plant

12 February 2016 Comments (0) Africa, Business, Latest Updates from Reuters

JOHANNESBURG (Reuters) – ArcelorMittal South Africa is looking for an independent power producer to build an 800 megawatt gas-fired power station on land at its Saldanha steel works to help ensure its survival, Chief Executive Paul O’Flaherty said.

ArcelorMittal, which is reviewing its Saldanha operation partly due to high electricity costs, is willing to take as much as 220 MW of the plant’s capacity and the company is in talks with other industrial users and the government to sign long- term contracts for the rest.

Building an independent power plant is vital for the survival of Saldanha, O’Flaherty told Reuters, adding that state-owned utility Eskom’s rising electricity prices were unaffordable.

Electricity accounts for nearly a third of costs at Saldanha, the company’s newest and only export-focused plant, compared with less than 10 percent for the rest of the company.

“An environmental impact study is underway on our land,” O’Flaherty said adding that ArcelorMittal South Africa would not own the project.

On Friday, the company reported a slightly narrower loss than expected, sending its shares soaring.

There are also expectations that the government will give local steelmakers further protection beyond the 10 percent steel import tariff agreed in August.

Shares in ArcelorMittal South Africa were up a further 12.74 percent at 6.99 rand by 1200 GMT on Friday.

 

(Reporting by TJ Strydom and Thekiso Lefifi; Editing by Greg Mahlich)

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South Africa’s rand slides as President’s speech disappoints

12 February 2016 Comments (0) Africa, Latest Updates from Reuters, Politics

JOHANNESBURG (Reuters) – South Africa’s rand weakened on Friday after President Jacob Zuma’s state-of-the-nation address that analysts and economists said did not deal with concerns raised by rating agencies.

By 0645 GMT the rand had slipped 0.7 percent to 15.9100 per dollar, pushed lower by the president’s failure to address investor worries over fiscal policy as well weak mining and manufacturing data.

Bonds also weakened, with the benchmark paper due in 2026 adding 7 basis points to 9.24 percent.

“There was only limited recognition of the current economic malaise with an overplaying of success of past policy targets,” said Peter Attard Montalto, head economist for emerging markets at Nomura International.

Analysts said ratings agencies were keen to hear the president announce a clear plan detailing how South Africa would improve economic growth, predicted at only 0.9 percent in 2016 by the central bank.

On Thursday, data from the statistics agency showed mining production declined 0.3 percent in December, while manufacturing grew slightly in the same month.

“The impact of the commodity price rout has been disastrous for domestic mining industry,” analysts at NKC African Economics said in a note.

“Unfortunately, new Mineral Resources Minister Mosebenzi Zwane offered little in the way of viable relief strategies when he addressed Mining Indaba earlier this week.”

Stocks opened higher, with the JSE Top-40 blue-chip index adding 0.65 percent to 42,324 points in early trade.

 

(Reporting by Mfuneko Toyana; Editing by Biju Dwarakanath)

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South Africa’s Woolworths to conserve cash as growth slows

11 February 2016 Comments (0) Africa, Business, Latest Updates from Reuters

JOHANNESBURG (Reuters) – South African retailer Woolworths Holdings Ltd will aim to conserve cash as growth slows in its home market, Chief Executive Ian Moir said on Thursday.

Shares in the retailer slid to a two-month low despite posting a 30.6 percent jump in first-half profit.

Woolworths, which sells upmarket food and clothing, warned rising interest rates in South Africa would further pressure consumers in Africa’s most advanced economy, where it makes nearly 60 percent of its sales.

“It would be more conservative, in what is a volatile environment, to offer scrip rather than cash,” said Woolworths Chief Executive Ian Moir, referring to dividends paid in shares rather than cash.

Shareholders will have a choice between a scrip and a cash dividend, the company said.

If all shareholders chose scrip, Woolworths would have 1.5-1.6 billion rand more for investment and to pay off debt, Moir said.

The company is committing capital to its expansion plans in Australia, said Moir, where it last year bought department store chain David Jones.

South Africa’s retailers are battling to boost sales as consumers check spending, though Woolworths has done better than rivals due to its appeal to high-income customers.

But a severe drought in southern Africa and the weaker rand is expected to stoke food price inflation, and though higher maize prices should not have a direct impact on higher income shoppers, their spending could sag.

“When we see food inflation coming through, our customers, even at the upper end, tend to buy less items,” said Moir.

Sasfin Securities analyst Alec Abraham said though Woolworths posted good operational results, Moir’s downbeat comments on South Africa’s growth outlook might have contributed to the share price fall on Thursday.

Earnings per share were affected by costs to acquire David Jones and the dilutive effects of share issues to finance the transaction and a black empowerment deal.

Headline earnings per share, the most widely watched profit measure in South Africa, which strips out certain one-off items, were up 30.6 percent at 253.5 cents for the six months ended Dec. 31.

Shares in Woolworths were down 7.5 percent at 86.37 rand by 1050 GMT, compared with a 2.1 slide in the JSE’s benchmark Top-40 index.

 

(Reporting by TJ Strydom; Editing by Subhranshu Sahu and Mark Potter)

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