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South Africa consumer confidence slips as growth concerns weigh

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JOHANNESBURG (Reuters) – South Africa’s consumer confidence slipped deeper into negative territory in the fourth quarter of last year, highlighting households’ concerns about the weak outlook for the economy, a survey showed on Thursday.

The consumer confidence index, sponsored by First National Bank (FNB) and compiled by the Bureau for Economic Research, slumped to -10 in the fourth quarter after registering -3 in the third quarter.

“The peaceful, free and fair completion of the municipal elections in early August, as well as the final outcome, may also have raised the confidence levels – or expectations for the future – of some consumers,” FNB senior economic analyst Jason Muscat said.

“However, the election boost to confidence likely faded during the fourth quarter, and the economic realities of weak household income growth, poor credit extension and soaring food prices once again exerted downward pressure during the festive season.”

 

(Reporting by Olivia Kumwenda-Mtambo; editing by Richard Lough)

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Kenyan supermarket chain Nakumatt agrees stake sale to fund for $75 mln

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NAIROBI (Reuters) – Privately-owned Nakumatt, Kenya’s biggest supermarket chain by sales, has agreed to sell a 25 percent stake to a foreign fund for $75 million, part of an effort to bolster its balance sheet and pay off debts, its managing director said on Wednesday.

Nakumatt, which started with a single store in Nairobi in 1992, operates 68 outlets in Kenya and neighbouring states Rwanda, Uganda and Tanzania.

The growing economies of East Africa have drawn in foreign retailers including Bostwana’s Choppies, South Africa’s Game Stores and French retailer Carrefour, through its Dubai-based franchisee Majid al-Futtaim.

“We are already at final stages with the investor. We are just waiting for the money to come,” Atul Shah told Reuters, without naming the fund involved.

The deal is part of the chain’s plan to overhaul its balance sheet and restructure a $75 million debt tranche owed to four local banks, Shah said. Expansion and other investments have pushed its debt up overall to $150 million.

“Nakumatt is going through some financial stress. We are out looking for funds and we are restructuring,” Shah said, adding the cash was expected before the end of February and would help the firm extend the tenor of its debts to more than five years.

“It stabilises our cash flow and it also gives a little room for the expansion plan that we have in place,” he said.

Nakumatt is being guided by a Dubai-based transaction adviser that Shah did not name. The equity deal with the foreign fund values the business at $300 million.

“It is a fair valuation,” Shah said, noting the business had expanded from a single small store to a regional network in 24 years.

 

(Reporting by Duncan Miriri; Editing by Edmund Blair and Mark Potter)

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Western Sahara’s Polisario to test EU court ruling on oil shipment

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ALGIERS (Reuters) – Western Sahara’s Polisario independence movement said it will ask EU and French authorities to seize the cargo of a ship it accused of illegally transporting marine oil from the Moroccan-controlled part of the disputed territory.

The case could break new legal ground in the long-running conflict over the desert region, where Polisario has declared an independent state, but which has been claimed by Morocco as part of its kingdom.

Mhamed Khadad, Polisario’s secretary for foreign affairs, said the oil shipment violated a ruling from the European Court of Justice last month that, for the purposes of two trade deals between the European Union and Morocco, said the territory of the latter did not include Western Sahara.

He said as an “occupying force”, Morocco had no right to issue export licences. The Moroccan foreign ministry declined to make any immediate comment.

Polisario said on its Sahara Press Service that it would file its complaint with the European Commission and French customs, “denouncing the illegal shipment of marine oil by a European tanker, Key Bay, from occupied Western Sahara’s town”, referring to Laayoune in the Moroccan-controlled area.

Western Sahara, which has significant phosphate reserves and offshore fishing, has been contested since 1975 when Spain, the former colonial power, withdrew. Morocco fought a 16-year war with Polisario, which established a self-declared Sahrawi Arab Democratic Republic.

Responding to an escalation in tension, U.N. peacekeeping observers have been deployed since August between Moroccan Royal Gendarmerie personnel and a unit of Polisario fighters facing off in a narrow strip of buffer zone between the two sides.

 

(Reporting by Patrick Markey; Editing by Mark Trevelyan)

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Exclusive – Nigeria’s efforts to secure international loans hit deadlock: sources

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By Paul Carsten, Ulf Laessing and Sujata Rao

ABUJA/DAVOS, Switzerland (Reuters) – Nigeria’s efforts to secure funds from international lenders to help haul it out of recession have stalled because it has not submitted the required economic reform plans, according to one of the banks and sources close to the matter.

The government has been in loan talks with the World Bank for a year. It had told the lender it would present its proposed reforms to make the economy more resilient and attractive to investment by the end of December, according to Western diplomats and a Nigerian official who declined to be named as they are not authorised to speak publicly.

But this has not happened and as a result of the delay, which the government has not explained, the Washington-based bank has not been able to consider a loan yet, the sources said.

Nigerian Finance Minister Kemi Adeosun declined to comment.

The African Development Bank (AfDB), meanwhile, is holding back the second tranche of a $1 billion loan for Nigeria, AfDB president Akinwumi Adesina told Reuters on the sidelines of the World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland.

“We are waiting for the economic policy recovery programme and the policy framework for that,” said Adesina, without specifying when the AfDB had expected to receive the reform plans.

The World Bank told Reuters in an email that Nigeria was currently preparing its plan “on the basis of which the World Bank will determine with the government the most appropriate lending instrument to support the implementation of the reform plan”.

Nigeria has said it is seeking to borrow $4 billion in total from the World Bank and other foreign institutions and $1 billion through Eurobonds to plug a yawning budget deficit and fund badly needed infrastructure projects.

The country, which relies on oil revenue for most of its income, has been hit hard by the sharp fall in crude prices since 2014 and is struggling to drag itself out of its first recession in 25 years.

It is unclear why the government has not submitted reform plans to the international lenders. The funding deadlock could throw into doubt badly needed infrastructure projects planned for this year, including new roads and improvements to power infrastructure.

The failure to secure the funds, and to present a reform programme, could also deter some investors from Nigeria’s planned $1 billion Eurobonds sale in March.

A Nigerian financial source said the government was working with a consultancy on putting together a package of proposed reforms. The source, who declined to be named as the matter is confidential, did not elaborate.

 

RECORD BUDGET

Nigeria needs money to help plug a budget deficit of 2.2 trillion naira ($7 billion) for 2016 and to help fund a record budget of 7.3 trillion naira for 2017 which is aimed at stimulating the economy.

It has been holding talks with various institutions and China over the last year to borrow funds but apart from a $1 billion loan from the African Development Bank, at a rate of 1.2 percent, nothing has been made public.

The Abidjan-based AfDB has paid out an initial $600 million in November but is awaiting the economic reform proposals before it disburses the rest of the money.

It is unclear how much money Nigeria is seeking from the World Bank, or whether the lender was pushing for any specific economic reforms from the government.

The diplomatic sources, however, said the bank wanted to see how Nigeria planned to lower its dependence on oil revenues and boost investment, which has been hit by a high official exchange rate for the naira currency.

Nigeria’s central bank, backed by President Muhammadu Buhari, has kept the naira rate to the dollar at 40 percent above the unofficial – or parallel – market rate, which has dried up dollar supplies on official channels.

The policy has also made investors reluctant to commit new projects as they expect the central bank will have to devalue the naira eventually as oil production has been hit by an insurgency in the Niger Delta oil hub.

The central bank has also imposed hard currency curbs making impossible the import of almost 700 goods, which has forced dozens of plants to close running out of spare parts.

Adesina told Reuters on Tuesday that the currency rate problem needed to be addressed by the government in its reform programme, which he said the AfDB was coordinating with the World Bank.

“We are being clear that the quantitative restriction in terms of access to FX is what’s creating huge gap between parallel market rates and official rates,” he added.

($1 = 314.5000 naira)

 

(Reporting by Paul Carsten and Ulf Laessing in Abuja and Sujata Rao in Davos, Switzerland; Additonal reporting by Chijioke Ohuocha in Lagos; Editing by Pravin Char)

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South Africa’s Eskom signs deal with municipalities over unpaid bills

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JOHANNESBURG (Reuters) – South African power utility Eskom has signed agreements with 21 of the 34 defaulting municipalities to recoup unpaid bills worth 10.2 billion rand ($757 million) and ease the pressure on businesses, the firm said on Tuesday.

The scheduled power interruptions in Africa’s most industrialised economy could negatively impact business and industries that rely on power in municipalities located in some of the key provinces in the country.

“Municipalities need to make arrangements or they will have to face the repercussions of having power interruptions,” Eskom’s spokesman Khulu Phasiwe told Reuters.

The state-owned power utility said in a statement it was within its power to cut electricity completely according to the Electricity Regulations Act and municipality supply agreements but will only implement scheduled disruptions.

Poultry producer Astral Foods, which has also been hit by drought-induced high feed prices and from an over-supplied domestic market, said earlier this week it could come under further pressure if Eskom carries out the interruptions in a district where some of its operations are located.

“If it’s a permanent power cut we would have to euthanise all 11.5 million birds,” Astral’s managing director of agriculture Gary Arnold told Reuters.

($1 = 13.4700 rand)

 

(Reporting by Tanisha Heiberg; Editing by James Macharia and Louise Heavens)

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Carlyle to become largest shareholder in South Africa’s Global Credit Ratings

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LONDON (Reuters) – Carlyle Group has agreed to become the largest shareholder in Johannesburg-based Global Credit Ratings (GCR), the U.S. buyout fund said on Tuesday, looking to broaden the pan-African ratings agency’s services.

Terms of the deal, which was first reported by the Financial Times, were not disclosed.

Carlyle is set to buy around half of the equity in GCR from its management founders and German development finance business DEG, which will remain invested in the company, Carlyle said.

GCR serves 400 customers across 20 countries and is the only ratings agency to have a strong presence in multiple geographies across Africa.

“The business plays a critical role in deepening African capital markets and we look forward to working with management to continue to develop and broaden the company’s service offerings,” Steve Burn-Murdoch, a Vice President on the Carlyle Sub-Saharan Africa team, said in a statement.

Carlyle raised $698 million for its Africa buyout fund in 2014, exceeding its $500 million target.

In November, Carlyle, which has $169 billion of assets under management, agreed to buy a majority share of CMC Networks, a pan-African telecommunications business.

In September, it agreed to buy a majority share of Amrod, a supplier of promotional products and clothing in South Africa and neighbouring countries.

Carlyle is already invested in the sector, having partnered with private equity fund Warburg Pincus and a consortium of Canadian-based individual investors to acquire the world’s fourth largest global credit ratings agency DBRS in 2015.

Founded more than two decades ago as the African arm of the New York Stock Exchange-listed Duff & Phelps, GCR expanded through acquisitions, alliances, and organic growth, and says it assigns more credit ratings in Africa than S&P, Moody’s and Fitch combined.

 

(Reporting by Dasha Afanasieva; Editing by Jason Neely and Mark Potter)

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Tanzania seeks $200m World Bank loan to clear arrears of state utility

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By Fumbuka Ng’wanakilala

DAR ES SALAAM (Reuters) – Tanzania is seeking a loan of $200 million from the World Bank for debt-ridden state power supplier TANESCO, the country’s energy ministry said on Monday, two weeks after the president refused to allow the utility to hike prices to cover costs.

President John Magufuli wants cheap electricity to drive industrialization, but the World Bank is likely to insist the loss-making utility increases prices so it can cover the cost of producing power and begin much-needed reforms.

Any struggle to secure that loan would underline the constraints faced by Magufuli, who is nicknamed “The Bulldozer”, as he tries to push through an ambitious economic reform agenda 14 months after he arrived in office.

The Tanzania Electric Supply Company (TANESCO) has debts of$363 million, the ministry said in a statement, up from $250 million at the end of 2015.

“As part of efforts to reduce TANESCO’s arrears … and improve its operations, the World Bank has held talks with the government through the Ministry of Energy and Minerals for a $200 million loan,” the ministry said in a statement.

It also said there was no agreement at this point with the World Bank to raise tariffs in return for the loan.

The World Bank was not immediately available for comment.

Tanzania’s energy regulator approved on Dec. 31 a tariff hike of 8.53 percent, less than half of what the utility said it needed to cover the losses [nL5N1EQ07K].

But the next day, Magufuli sacked the head of the state electricity company, saying the price hike would stymie his plans to ramp up industrial output. [nL5N1ER0JA]

Decades of mismanagement and political meddling means the utility sells electricity below cost. It also struggles to cope with transmission leaks and power theft.

Despite reserves of over 57 trillion cubic feet (tcf) of natural gas, Tanzania faces chronic power shortages due its reliance on hydro-power dams in a drought-prone region for about a third of it’s 1,570 MW of installed capacity .

TANESCO has to resort to costly fuel oil or diesel plants to fill the shortfall during dry spells and many of its arrears are due to the costs of private power and fuel suppliers. Most oil plants are being shut or converted to use natural gas.

Tanzania aims to add about 2,000 MW in gas-fired generation by 2018.

 

(Reporting by Fumbuka Ng’wanakilala; Editing by Richard Lough)

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Kenya’s economy to grow at a slower pace this year: IMF Rep

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NAIROBI (Reuters) – Kenya’s economic growth rate will slow in 2017, from about 6 percent last year, due to sluggish credit growth and as investors take a wait-and-see attitude before a presidential election in August, a senior IMF official said on Monday.

Armando Morales, the International Monetary Fund’s representative in Kenya, said growth is likely to remain within the 5-6 percent range of the past five years, despite the slowdown.

“We expect a deceleration of growth for several reasons, but I think the most important reason we are considering is the potential impact of the interest rate cap on credit growth,” he told Reuters in an interview.

The government capped commercial lending rates at 400 basis points above the central bank’s lending rate last September, hurting already stressed private sector credit growth.

After September, banks’ lending grew by just 5 percent year-on-year, down from 17.8 percent in December 2015. Stricter supervision of banks by the central bank and the closure of two mid-sized lenders had cut credit growth before the rate cap came in.

The IMF’s 2017 economic growth forecast for the East African nation will be released later this month after its board meets to review a $1.5 billion precautionary arrangement that was agreed in 2015 and is set to run until March 2018.

President Uhuru Kenyatta is seeking a second and final term of office in an election on Aug. 8. He is expected to face off with his main rival, Raila Odinga.

A disputed election result in 2007 led to violence that killed around 1,250 people. Odinga challenged the outcome of the 2013 election but the result was upheld by the country’s Supreme Court.

Morales said investment delays due to concerns over the election were to be expected, but that the government’s investments in infrastructure, including roads and railways, would support demand and economic growth.

“We believe it is going to be a reasonable deceleration; it is not like the economy will lose momentum. It is only that there are other factors at play,” he said.

 

(Reporting by Duncan Miriri; editing by Katharine Houreld/Jeremy Gaunt)

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Egypt’s $12 bln IMF loan carries interest rate of 1.5-1.75 pct -fin min

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CAIRO (Reuters) – Egypt’s $12 billion three-year loan programme from the International Monetary Fund carries an interest rate of 1.5 to 1.75 percent, Finance Minister Amr El Garhy said on Sunday.

He said at a news conference that each tranche of the loan would be repaid within 10 years of disbursement with a 4.5 year grace period.

The IMF approved the loan, which is linked to an ambitious economic reform programme, and paid Egypt the first $2.75 billion installment in November, but the full terms of the deal have yet to be published.

 

(Reporting by Asma Al Sharif and Lin Noueihed; Editing by Catherine Evans)

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Nigeria’s NNPC proposes changes to increase deepwater oil revenues

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ABUJA (Reuters) – Nigeria’s state oil company has proposed legal amendments aimed at enabling the government to increase royalties and other revenues from deepwater oil production.

OPEC member Nigeria has been hit hard by a slump in crude oil prices in the last two years, which helped to push the country into recession. And militant attacks in the southern Niger Delta throughout 2016 have hampered production.

The proposed amendments relate to the Deep Offshore and Inland Basin Production Sharing Contract (PSC) Act.

The Nigerian National Petroleum Corporation (NNPC) said the calculation of what was due to the government should be “based on production and price to guarantee fairness and balance between PSC contractors and government”.

In a presentation to the lower house of parliament, NNPC’s chief operating officer for upstream operations, Bello Rabiu, said the current graduated royalty scale should be removed.

“It is our opinion that the proposal to increase the royalty rate for terrains beyond 1000 metres, from zero percent to 3 percent, is commendable but it is necessary to also make corresponding adjustments in other categories,” he said.

NNPC also said the petroleum minister should have powers to intermittently set royalties payable for acreages located in deep offshore and inland basin production-sharing contracts.

The company also said some incentives should be removed, including the investment tax credit, investment tax allowance and capital allowances to PSC contractors.

 

(Reporting by Camillus Eboh and Alexis Akwagyiram; Editing by Greg Mahlich)

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