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South Africa nuclear tender open to all, Rosatom not frontrunner

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By Geert De Clercq

LONDON (Reuters) – A massive nuclear tender in South Africa is open to all bidders prepared to manufacture locally and share technology, and Russia is not the frontrunner, the head of the country’s nuclear agency said.

After meetings between Russian President Vladimir Putin and South African President Jacob Zuma, Rosatom had been considered the leading candidate to build 9.6 gigawatts of nuclear power capacity in South Africa by 2030.

“Russia is not the frontrunner. It never was,” Phumzile Tshelane, CEO of South African nuclear state agency Necsa, told Reuters in an interview on the sidelines of the World Nuclear Association conference.

South Africa wants to deepen its nuclear know-how, save costs and create jobs by making sure it picks a company that is happy to share the manufacturing and maintenance.

Stressing that the tender was an “open race”, Tshelane, a nuclear physicist said: “We do not want a Build, Own, Operate model.”

Russia’s state nuclear company Rosatom has sold several nuclear reactors to developing countries, including Turkey, under the “BOO” model, whereby Russia finances, builds and operates the nuclear plant and sells power to its customer.

In countries with a strong nuclear tradition, Rosatom has also built reactors with a different model that involves more input from local companies.

 

ECONOMIC BOOTSTRAP

Tshelane said he wants between a third and half of the construction to take place locally, which would also help to keep the cost down.

“If you localise construction, money does not flow out of the country but circulates locally and creates jobs. Nuclear energy must help bootstrap our economy,” he said.

Tshelane said a “Build, Own, Transfer” model could work for South Africa. South Korea’s Kepco has used a similar model to build nuclear plants in Abu Dhabi.

“Ours is almost like the Korean model, where you work together and can have a partnership,” he said.

He said Necsa does not want a “turnkey model” under which a company builds a plant and then hands it over to the operator. This is a model French company Areva has used for its Olkiluoto project in Finland.

Neither does it want to replicate a model that has been used in China, under which the customer acquires intellectual property rights and then builds the plant itself. Areva and Toshiba-owned Westinghouse have signed such deals in China.

The South African government has signed memorandums of understanding about nuclear with Russian, Chinese, South Korean, French and American reactor makers.

All are hopeful of winning the business, estimated by some to be worth up to $100 billion, a boon for an industry still floundering after the Fukushima nuclear disaster.

 

CRITICISM

South Africa, which has the continent’s only nuclear power station, wants to diversify away from mainly coal-based energy production, a move Zuma says is important for economic growth.

But critics say the government should spend more on renewables such as wind and solar rather than on one of the world’s largest and most expensive nuclear projects. They are watching the tender process – to be launched at the end of the month – carefully to make sure it is transparent.

The meetings between Zuma and Putin over the last two years had led to speculation that Rosatom had secured the deal before the launch of the public tender.

It also fueled criticism from the opposition, some analysts and domestic media, who said that Zuma was trying to use the tender process to secure contracts for business associates in his last two years in office. Zuma has denied that charge.

Tshelane, 54, said it was in any case unlikely that one company would get a contract to build all the reactors.

“Nobody will sign a deal for 9.6 gigawatt,” he said.

He said the first contract would likely be for between one and three plants out of a possible total of 10.

“If we are happy together, we can look at ordering more,” he said.

The existing nuclear power plant – run by domestic utility Eskom – generates five percent of the country’s power and uses two 1980s French-built Pressurised Water Reactors, the most common type of reactor. Tshelane said South Africa wants to stick with the PWR technology with which it familiar.

He said it was also important that the company building the power station had an existing plant of the same nature that can be used as a reference point.

Asked whether that meant South Africa would rule out France’s Areva – which has four European Pressurized Reactors (EPR) under construction but no operating ones yet – he said it would need to be working by the time the South African reactors are built.

 

NUCLEAR FUEL

Tshelane said that South Africa, which has large uranium reserves, also wants to build its own nuclear fuel manufacturing cycle but has no plans to start up the high-tech and politically-sensitive uranium enrichment process.

“Enrichment is embroiled in geopolitics,” Tshelane said. He said South Africa does not completely rule out enriching its own uranium eventually but is unlikely to do so in the next decade.

South Africa currently produces uranium as a byproduct of gold mining – but not enough to supply the new nuclear plants.

“Necsa wants to own a uranium mine in South Africa. We want to control our uranium resources from cradle to grave,” he said.

South Africa also wants to convert its own yellowcake milled uranium ore into uranium hexafluoride that is ready for enrichment and make its own nuclear fuel using uranium enriched abroad.

Tshelane said that a contract for a new research reactor would be part of the tender procedure. South Africa’s 50-year old 20 MW research reactor is used to produce radio isotopes for medical purposes.

He said a new research reactor would be crucial for the development of South Africa’s nuclear industry, both for producing nuclear fuel and for testing nuclear equipment.

 

(Editing by Ed Cropley and Anna Willard)

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Moody’s may downgrade five South African state-owned firms

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JOHANNESBURG (Reuters) – Moody’s may cut the ratings of five South African state-owned firms, including utility Eskom, it said on Wednesday, citing funding risks after some local institutional investors said they had stopped lending to some parastatals.

Asset manager Futuregrowth, which manages client assets of about $12 billion, and rival Abax Investments said this month they had reduced or stopped lending to several state-run firms due to political uncertainty and governance issues.

Moody’s said in a statement it was putting Eskom’s Ba1 rating on review for downgrade on the grounds that its funding needs were exacerbated by the rising cost of buying power from independent producers, as well as its spending to revamp and build new power stations.

Eskom is building new plants and transmission lines to augment a power grid that nearly collapsed in 2008 and forced the company to implement controlled blackouts, or load shedding, early last year that dented economic growth.

Chief Financial Officer Anoj Singh called the review “unfortunate” and said Eskom would meet Moody’s to resolve its concerns.

“The review by Moody’s is unfortunate given the progress made towards improving the company’s financial profile, successful implementation of the operations turnaround plan and Eskom’s healthy liquidity position,” Singh said in a statement.

Moody’s is also reviewing the ratings of four other state-controlled entities: the Development Bank of Southern Africa, the Industrial Development Corporation, the South African National Roads Agency (SANRAL) and Land Bank.

“Today’s review for downgrade … primarily reflects the increased risk of funding and liquidity challenges, following some signals of increased risk aversion by funding counterparties owing to market concerns regarding the governance of South African state-owned enterprises,” Moody’s said.

Many of South Africa’s 300-odd state-owned companies, including South African Airways, are a drain on the government’s purse and rating agencies have singled out some as threat to the country’s investment grade rating.

South Africa’s President Jacob Zuma last month defended plans to give his office supervision over state-controlled companies after allies of under-fire Finance Minister Pravin Gordhan said it was a tool to limit his control.

Analysts have said Zuma’s team and the Treasury under Gordhan have disagreed about government spending, including on loss-making state firms, such as South African Airways.

Gordhan has pledged to rein in government spending to limit rising inflation, narrow a gaping budget deficit and appease ratings agencies considering cutting South Africa to “junk” status in reviews expected by December.

 

(Reporting by Tiisetso Motsoeneng; Editing by David Clarke and Catherine Evans)

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Ivory Coast awards San Pedro port expansion to MSC, Bilal Group

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ABIDJAN (Reuters) – Ivory Coast has awarded a project to upgrade its second port of San Pedro to global shipping giant Mediterranean Shipping Company (MSC) and the Bilal Group, a government spokesman said on Wednesday.

Speaking after a cabinet meeting in the commercial capital Abidjan, Bruno Kone said MSC would invest 122 billion CFA francs ($209.14 million) and the Bilal Group 186 billion CFA francs ($318.83 million) under the build-operate-transfer deal.

($1 = 583.3300 CFA francs)

 

(Reporting by Loucoumane Coulibaly; Editing by Joe Bavier and Emma Farge)

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Tanzania on track to hit 7.2 pct growth in 2016: central bank

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By Fumbuka Ng’wanakilala

DAR ES SALAAM (Reuters) – Tanzania’s economy is on track to expand by 7.2 percent in 2016, up from 7 percent in 2015, boosted by construction, an anti-corruption drive and better management of public resources, the central bank governor said on Wednesday.

President John Magufuli, elected last year, has launched a campaign against corruption and government waste, and promised to improve transport links and other infrastructure.

The International Monetary Fund told Tanzania in July to curb public spending, which has risen on the back of its infrastructure plans, and urged the government to implement structural reforms.

“Economic growth this year will be boosted by the government’s ongoing efforts to tackle corruption, strengthen the management of public resources and construction of infrastructure as part of the country’s industrialisation plan,” Bank of Tanzania Governor Benno Ndulu told a news conference.

Ndulu also said the shilling had been steady in the first half of 2016 thanks to growing exports of goods and services and a slide in import costs, largely due to weaker global oil prices.

The governor said the shilling had traded in a range of 2,180 to 2,190 to the dollar in the first six months of 2016. At 1257 GMT on Wednesday, banks quoted the shilling at 2,177.

“We expect the shilling to remain stable for the rest of the year,” he said, adding that inflation was expected to remain in single digits in line with the government’s mid-term target of 5 percent. It was 4.9 percent in the year to August.

(Writing by Edmund Blair; Editing by Robin Pomeroy and Hugh Lawson)

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Nigeria refuses petrol price rise despite crude and currency crises

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By Libby George

ABUJA (Reuters) – Nigeria will not increase its gasoline prices, President Muhammadu Buhari told his oil minister and state oil firm head, summoned to his villa last week, sources at the compound said.

Oil Minister Emmanuel Ibe Kachikwu, the head of state oil firm NNPC Maikanti Baru and the entire government have stepped up efforts to keep fuel flowing into Nigeria without repeating the price increase of May and risking civil unrest.

Shortly before the meeting former Nigerian National Petroleum Corporation (NNPC) bosses had said such an increase may be needed.

A steep devaluation of the naira currency has made sales of petrol at government capped prices unprofitable, marketers say. Months of unrest in the Delta region has also cut Nigeria’s oil output and left as little as half the crude available that it needs to swap for refined motor fuel from trading companies.

“Gasoline is the top priority” for NNPC, said one oil industry source who, like many in Abuja was meeting daily with officials in the oil company. The company, and government, the source said, “will do whatever they can” to stop shortages and keep prices stable.

In a statement last week, NNPC’s Petroleum Products Pricing Regulatory Agency, which oversees downstream regulations, said there was “no basis” for price increase fears, and assured the nation of “uninterrupted supply and distribution.”

 

TAKING TO THE STREETS

Nigeria has four oil refineries, but none of them have been able to run consistently enough to provide Africa’s most populous nation with enough gasoline and diesel – despite its historic position as Africa’s largest oil producer, pumping around two million barrels per day.

That is, before unrest cut output by around a third earlier this year.

Available, affordable gasoline is crucial to the government’s credibility. Shortages bring the nation to a halt, leading to days-long queues for fuel and power cuts at small businesses that rely on generators to withstand frequent power outages.

Nigerian unions have already threatened to take to the streets if prices rise further, as consumers face inflation that is at an 11-year high of 17 percent.

The Independent Petroleum Marketers Association of Nigeria, which represents small and medium fuel sellers, is, however, calling for higher prices. It argues that the current state cap of 145 naira per litre is far too low, given the devaluation.

The currency fell to 420 per dollar on the parallel market last month, compared with the rate of 285 that the government was using when it set the cap.

Gasoline is imported into Nigeria by NNPC and independent importers, with each usually providing half the total needed, but the government said it has been providing some 90 percent in recent months.

 

FOREX RESERVES SQUEEZED

NNPC, beset by dollar and oil shortages, is running a tender to buy gasoline over the next six months, as sources say it is concerned the current system of swapping crude and relying on other importers might not provide enough.

Militant attacks have hit pipelines and cut output by more than 700,000 barrels per day. As a result, NNPC has only around four crude oil cargoes per month this autumn to swap for gasoline, according to sources, compared with at least 10 cargoes during the spring months.

In its tender, NNPC asked for 90 days to repay in either cash or crude, which is as much as three times longer than the standard repayment window.

But the longer repayment, oil industry sources said, will both alarm some suppliers and could force NNPC to pay more.

“Companies will supply it – but they will submit terms where they think they can make money,” another oil company source said, adding it would be difficult for NNPC to get competitive prices.

The naira collapse, and lower oil exports, has cut significantly into Nigeria’s foreign exchange reserves, squeezing access to the U.S. dollars importers need.

But NNPC made sure gasoline importers were able to access dollars. Oil majors including Chevron, Exxon and Shell have to buy naira for local operations, a key channel through which dollars arrive. NNPC has funnelled around $500 million of this to gasoline importers over the past several months, sources said.

“If fuel marketers are unable to recover cost, they will simply stop importing,” regardless of whether they have dollars, said Alan Cameron, economist and director of Exotix.

Some are sceptical of NNPC’s ability to fill the gap, and warned that a failure could have serious consequences.

“The government is unlikely to remove the price cap introduced in May, meaning that the fuel shortages will continue throughout Q3, further hurting the already faltering economy,” said Malte Liewerscheidt senior analyst for Africa with UK-based risk advisory group Maplecroft.

 

(Additional reporting by Felix Onuah in Abuja and Ron Bousso in London. Editing by William Hardy)

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Ghana budget deficit expected to fall to 4.9 pct this year: president

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ACCRA (Reuters) – Ghana’s budget deficit is expected to fall to 4.9 percent of GDP this year against an initial projection of 5.3 percent, President John Mahama said on Tuesday in a speech to present highlights of the ruling party’s manifesto ahead of an election in December.

Gross domestic product is expected to grow more than 8 percent next year, compared with a projected 4.1 percent this year, he said.

Positive economic news is crucial for Mahama’s hopes of winning a second and final four-year term in office, given that the economy slowed sharply in the years after he came to power in 2012.

The slowdown was caused by lower global prices for gold, oil and cocoa exported by Ghana and a fiscal crisis that forced the government last year to begin a three-year aid deal with the International Monetary Fund.

Mahama is expected to face a tight contest against Nana Akufo-Addo, leader of the New Patriotic Party, which ruled the country for eight years until it lost an election in 2008.

“Our opponents have been seeking to belittle our achievements, claiming that we have benefited from more resources than any other government in our country’s history,” Mahama said.

“It is much easier to deny that anything has happened than to say that there’s been progress but that they can do better,” Mahama said.

 

(Reporting by Matthew Mpoke Bigg; Editing by Grant McCool)

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South African data supports Gordhan’s dismissal of recession

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By Mfuneko Toyana and Olivia Kumwenda-Mtambo

JOHANNESBURG (Reuters) – South Africa’s current account deficit narrowed more than expected in the second quarter, data showed on Tuesday, supporting Finance Minister Pravin Gordhan’s view that Africa’s most industrialised economy was not in “recession territory”.

South Africa has a better than 50 percent chance of avoiding a downgrade of its credit rating to “junk” status this year, Gordhan told business leaders in Johannesburg on Tuesday. He also pledged to stick to deficit targets set out in his budget in February, despite weak economic growth.

He warned, however, that surprising economic growth of 3.3 percent in the second quarter could not be sustained and pledged continued fiscal prudence, a key recommendation by ratings agencies.

“The next year or so is quite critical, not just for ratings but for ourselves as an economy and as a country as well,” Gordhan told business leaders.

South Africa’s current account deficit narrowed to 3.1 percent of GDP in the second quarter, better than the 3.6 percent predicted by analysts and down from 5.3 percent in the first quarter.

“The recent data has certainly reduced the chances of a downgrade. It’s gone from more or less inevitable to being a possibility,” said John Ashbourne, Africa analyst at Capital Economics.

The rand pared losses after the data were released. It had dropped as much as 1 percent in early trade, following a warning by Deputy Finance Minister Mcebisi Jonas that a police investigation into Gordhan was causing economic uncertainty.

Gordhan declined last month to obey a police summons linked to the inquiry into whether he had used a tax service unit to spy on politicians, including President Jacob Zuma. Gordhan said he had done nothing wrong and his supporters have called the investigation a witch hunt.

Divisions within the African National Congress have widened since the ruling party suffered its worst-ever local election results last month. Analysts say the rifts result from a power struggle between Zuma and Gordhan.

Zuma is due to appear in parliament at 2 p.m. (1200 GMT), where he expected to be questioned about alleged rifts with Gordhan and his relationship with the Guptas, a wealthy family.

“It does destabilise, not only Treasury, it creates uncertainties across the economy,” Jonas told 702 Talk Radio. “We feel confident there is no basis for the allegation. We are not worried about that.”

Jonas also said he had met Public Protector Thuli Madonsela, an anti-corruption watchdog, as part of her inquiry into whether the Guptas have been influencing high-level political appointments.

Jonas dropped a political bombshell earlier this year when he said the Gupta family offered to secure him his boss’s job.

Zuma has said that the Guptas are his friends but denies doing anything improper. The Guptas have also denied making job offers to anyone in government.

 

(Writing by Joe Brock; Editing by Larry King)

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South Africa not in “recession territory” – Gordhan

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JOHANNESBURG (Reuters) – South Africa’s economy is not in “recession territory” and there is a more than 50 percent chance ratings agencies will not downgrade it to “junk” status this year, Finance Minister Pravin Gordhan said on Tuesday.

Treasury also plans to stick to its deficit and debt targets set-out in a budget delivered in February, Gordhan told business leaders in Johannesburg.

“We will retain and sustain our fiscal credibility notwithstanding lower growth, which will put pressure on the revenue and the expenditure side,” Gordhan said.

 

(Reporting by Mfuneko Toyana; Writing by Joe Brock; Editing by Ed Cropley)

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Qatar considers joining Exxon’s Mozambique gas move

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By Ron Bousso and Tom Finn

LONDON/DOHA (Reuters) – Qatar Petroleum is interested in the Mozambique gas business of Italian energy group Eni and could opt to join Exxon Mobil in buying a multibillion-dollar stake, sources familiar with the matter said.

State-controlled Eni is looking to reduce a 50 percent stake in its giant Mozambique gas acreage as part of plans to sell 5 billion euros of assets over the next two years. Last month sources told Reuters Exxon had reached a deal that could give it an operating stake in the onshore liquefied natural gas (LNG) export plant, while leaving Eni in control of the Area 4 gas fields feeding it. Qatar Petroleum is in talks with Exxon and Eni on some kind of involvement in Mozambique which could involve a joint investment with the U.S. major, one senior QP source said, adding the deal was not a classic joint venture structure. A second Doha-based source, who declined to be named as not authorized to speak publicly, said Qatar Petroleum had been looking at Eni’s Area 4 field as well as adjoining acreage of Anadarko Petroleum Corp but added the focus was on Eni. “The expectation is that Qatar Petroleum and Exxon will go in on this together,” the source said, adding a Qatar Petroleum delegation planned to visit Mozambique before the year end. The sources cautioned no decision had as yet been taken by the Qatari company. Qatar Petroleum did not respond to requests for comment and Exxon and Eni declined to comment. Saad al-Kaabi, Qatar Petroleum CEO, recently confirmed the group was looking at assets in Africa.

Located in Mozambique’s Rovuma Basin, Eni’s Area 4 is one of the biggest discoveries of recent times, holding about 85 trillion cubic feet of gas. Eni CEO Claudio Descalzi, who has spoken of selling a stake of up to 25 percent, said earlier this month a detailed agreement had been reached with a partner. In 2013 Eni sold 20 percent of Area 4 to China’s CNPC for $4.2 billion but since then oil and gas prices have dropped by more than half. A banker with knowledge of the matter said a 25 percent stake in the field could be worth in the region of 2 billion euros.

Exxon and QP are already close business partners in Qatar, where Exxon’s technical know-how helped the tiny Gulf state to develop its gas resources and become the world’s biggest as well as lowest-cost LNG producer.

Since then, both companies have jointly moved to exploit international LNG growth opportunities, including plans to build the Golden Pass liquefaction plant in the United States and bidding for exploration acreage in Cyprus.

A moratorium on new Qatari gas production since 2005 has hobbled domestic expansion opportunities at a time of intense competition for global LNG market share as new producers such as Australia challenge Qatar’s dominance. “The (Mozambique) gas will go east and so having Qatar on board with all its experience makes a lot of sense,” a banker with knowledge of the matter said.

 

(Writing by Stephen Jewkes, additional reporting by Oleg Vukmanovic in Milan, editing by William Hardy)

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IMF weighs lifting freeze on Guinea-Bissau funding

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By Joe Bavier

ABIDJAN (Reuters) – The International Monetary Fund could lift a suspension on payments aimed at helping Guinea-Bissau emerge from years of political turmoil following an evaluation mission this week, the institution’s country representative said on Monday.

The IMF agreed a programme with Guinea-Bissau last year after 2014 elections drew a line under a coup two years earlier – one of a succession that have spawned chronic instability and helped make the West African country a haven for South American cocaine traffickers.

Disbursements were suspended in June, however, after the government took on 34 billion CFA francs ($58.3 million) in bad loans from two private banks. Donors followed suit and suspended budget support for 2016 equal to around 2.1 percent of GDP.

IMF representative Oscar Melhado told Reuters by email that the Fund welcomed a government decision to cancel the bailouts, whose value amounted to around 5.5 percent of GDP.

“The only remaining obstacle is the refusal of the banks to accept the bad portfolio back into their books,” he said.

The IMF had argued the bailouts benefited the wealthiest citizens and foreign investors. Authorities had said they were needed to shield the private sector from bankruptcy.

Monday was a public holiday and the banks, Banco da Africa Ocidental and Banco da União, were not available for comment.

Melhado said the government should also commit to implementing prudent macroeconomic policies and key structural reforms during the visit due to begin on Tuesday, which constitutes the first and second reviews of the IMF programme.

Disbursements worth 4.1 billion CFA could still be made this year if the reviews are approved by the IMF’s board in December.

Total donor contributions, including direct budget support and financing for targeted sectors and projects, typically make up around 80 percent of Guinea-Bissau’s budget. After the IMF freeze, Finance Minister Henrique Horta described the economic situation, including a budget deficit amounting to about 3.5 percent of GDP, as “catastrophic”.

The government of Guinea, which is helping to mediate in its smaller Portuguese-speaking neighbour, said earlier this month that Guinea-Bissau would not be able to pay the salaries of civil servants and the security forces from October.

“We hope that donors will resume support following the IMF. It would depend on each donor’s policy,” Melhado said.

The IMF visit comes days after an agreement to form a new government, ending a year-long political crisis that has paralysed state institutions.

($1 = 582.9600 CFA francs)

 

(Reporting by Joe Bavier; Editing by Mark Trevelyan)

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