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Strategic approach to regulation can boost SME exports: ITC

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By Tom Miles

GENEVA (Reuters) – Governments have a massive opportunity to boost national trade if they think strategically about how standards and regulations help or hinder SMEs to export, the Geneva-based International Trade Centre (ITC) said in a report published on Thursday.

“If you want to maximise your chances of getting your share of international trade, you need to be very strategic about where is the potential that you are not tapping into,” the ITC’s Executive Director Arancha Gonzalez told Reuters.

“The government has a possibility to open the door for businesses to follow, rather than the government following the regulatory framework of businesses that are trying to swim in this current by themselves.”

The ITC, a joint agency of the United Nations and the World Trade Organization that helps SMEs to trade, says its 300-page report, “Meeting the standard for trade”, offers a guide for small businesses and an action plan for governments.

Standards and regulations are key to competitiveness and one of the defining elements of trade in the 21st century, Gonzalez said, as consumers become more and more savvy and picky about where products come from and what they contain.

“Consumers are asking for more sophisticated standards. This is a huge challenge for SMEs, for governments, and for institutions. The option of no standards or lower standards is not an option,” Gonzalez said.

Standards are diverse. They determine whether a plug fits into a socket, whether a medicine can be sold, and whether we can understand foreign traffic signs. Regulations can mean safety rules for food or cars, or privacy rules for data storage. In all cases governments need to back the rules up with testing and certification.

The report identifies areas where countries are underperforming their export potential, which standards and regulations they should target to meet that potential, and what investments are needed.

There is an opportunity for trade in processed and fresh food within the Middle East and North Africa, for example, where the number of technical regulations for fresh food imports is four times higher than in other regions, Gonzalez said.

“There is no internal trade because the manner in which they are regulating is hugely burdensome. So they don’t trade with each other, they only trade with the rest of the world.”

Countries in the region could increase food exports to each other by $7.6 billion and to developing countries in Asia by $16.5 billion, the report said.

The Asia-Pacific region could export $400 billion more in IT and consumer electronics, and $1.7 trillion more overall, and had strong potential to diversify into chemicals exports, the report said.

Meeting standards can open markets and raise prices, but Gonzalez said governments should “craft” regulation with SMEs in mind, since smaller firms make up 98 percent of businesses and their ability to trade suffers disproportionately from red tape.

“A 10 percent increase in the regulatory burden means 1.6 percent less trade for large companies but 3.2 percent less trade for SMEs,” she said.

 

(Reporting by Tom Miles; Editing by Toby Chopra)

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Zimbabwe losing $1 billion a year to corruption – report

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HARARE (Reuters) – Zimbabwe is losing at least $1 billion annually to corruption, with police and local government officials among the worst offenders, Transparency International said in a report on Tuesday.

Social media groups like #ThisFlag and #Tajamuka have cited corruption in President Robert Mugabe’s government and police roadblocks where money is taken from motorists as among the main reasons for protests that have rocked the southern African nation in the last few months.

Transparency International Zimbabwe (TIZ) said the police, local councils, the vehicle inspection department that issues driving licences and the education department were among the most corrupt institutions.

“The resulting institutionalisation and systematisation of corruption in Zimbabwean political and economic spheres has been extensive,” TIZ said.

“It would be surprising if the value (of corruption) were less than $1 billion annually.”

Police spokeswoman Charity Charamba said she could not immediately comment.

Critics and the opposition accuse Mugabe of failing to tackle high-level graft and say endemic corruption is one reason foreign companies are hesitant to invest in the country.

Mugabe has at times admitted to corruption among his cabinet ministers but says police lack the evidence to prosecute.

“It could be true there could be corruption but we don’t have people who are prepared to give evidence,” Information Minister Christopher Mushohwe said in response to questions about the report.

“Give us the evidence and the law will take its course.”

Zimbabwe was last year ranked 150th out of 168 countries on the Transparency International index, which measures public perceptions of corruption in public institutions.

Corruption mainly consists of public officials demanding bribes for basic services like installing an electricity metre, approving a house plan to facilitating investment.

Zimbabwe’s tax authority in May suspended its head and five managers in connection with the purchase of luxury cars that were undervalued by a local dealer, one of few high-ranking graft cases to be made public in recent years.

 

(Reporting by MacDonald Dzirutwe; Editing by Joe Brock and Hugh Lawson)

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Tunisia cuts growth outlook to 1.5 pct vs previous 2.5 pct

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TUNIS (Reuters) – Tunisia has cut its 2016 growth forecast to 1.5 percent this year, down from an expected 2.5 percent, its finance minister said on Wednesday, citing difficulties in the phosphate sector where protests have disrupted production.

“According to the complementary law for the 2016 budget, growth will be at 1.5 percent this year due to a decline in economic activity in several sectors including phosphate,” Finance Minister Lamia Zribi told reporters.

Growth in 2015 was only 0.8 pct after Islamist militant attacks hit the tourism sector that represents around 8 percent of the gross domestic product.

The country’s vital phosphate exports have been disrupted by strikes and protests by unemployed youth seeking jobs, costing the state tens of millions of dollars in lost revenue.

Tunisia produced 4 million tonnes of phosphate last year and output for the first six months of 2016 was at 1.86 million tonnes, according to the energy ministry. It produced about 8.26 million tonnes of phosphate in 2010. But output dropped after its 2011 revolution.

Tunisian Prime Minister Youssef Chahed told Reuters last week growth will 3 percent next year, helped by a package of reforms aimed at shoring up the new democracy won in the 2011 revolution with economic gains.

 

(Reporting By Tarek Amara; editing by Patrick Markey)

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Fall in South African inflation seen temporary – cbank governor

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JOHANNESBURG (Reuters) – The South African central bank governor said on Tuesday the decline in consumer inflation to within the bank’s target range of 3-6 percent is expected to be temporary and that there is no room for complacency in monetary policy.

“We have, however, benefited in recent months from movements in from some global and domestic factors that have aided downward revisions to our inflation forecast,” Reserve Bank Governor Lesetja Kganyago said in a speech delivered in New York and posted on the bank’s website.

“We also know that the positive factors underlying the more favourable outlook can change very quickly, and therefore there is no room for complacency.”

 

(Reporting by Olivia Kumwenda-Mtambo; editing by Mark Heinrich)

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Africa could be significant LNG importer by 2025 -Total

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CAPE TOWN (Reuters) – Africa could become a significant global market for imported liquefied natural gas (LNG) by 2025, with Egypt the main driver, as more countries eye gas-to-power projects, a senior official at Total said on Tuesday.

With hundreds of millions of people living without electricity in the world’s poorest continent, African countries are increasingly turning to gas to take advantage of lower global LNG prices amid a supply glut.

“It could be collectively a 20 to 30 million tonnes per year market by 2025,” Tom Earl, vice president of gas and power development at the French oil major, told Reuters on the sidelines of a gas conference in Cape Town.

He said Egypt could be importing between 15 million-20 million tonnes annually within a decade, although actual volumes would depend on the development of its huge Zohr gas field, which had an estimated 30 trillion cubic feet of gas.

West Africa was seen importing 5 million tonnes a year, Southern Africa 4 million and Morocco 2 million tonnes by 2025, Earl said.

Egypt aims to import between 110 and 120 cargos of liquefied natural gas in 2017, the state-owned Egyptian Natural Gas Holding company (EGAS) said in June.

“Africa really is going to take a central role, the projects may be typically of smaller scale, but nevertheless they will collectively be very important,” said Earl.

He said Total was focusing on gas-to-power projects around the world and wanted to develop downstream markets to increase the uptake of gas, which is seen as a cleaner alternative to harmful coal-fired plants.

“Total is willing to invest further downstream and that’s important for us because it is developing future demand, future markets,” he said.

He said Total was considering all aspects of South Africa’s plans to build two gas-to-power projects with a combined 3,126 megawatt capacity to diversify electricity production away from more environmentally damaging coal plants.

The projects, estimated to cost around 50 billion rand ($3.7 bln), will initially require about 1.6 million tonnes of imported gas.

Preferred bidders are expected to be announced early next year.

($1 = 13.5782 rand)

 

(Reporting by Wendell Roelf; Editing by Susan Fenton)

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Chinese company to spend $20 billion developing second phase of Egypt’s new capital

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CAIRO (Reuters) – China Fortune Land Development Co. Ltd. (CFLD) has signed a deal to develop and manage 14,000 acres (5,700 hectares) of Egypt’s new administrative capital at a cost of $20 billion, the Egyptian cabinet said in a statement on Monday.

The development, which will include homes and offices and all relevant infrastructure, will take place in the second phase of construction of the new capital east of Cairo.

The new capital is one of a series of mega-projects announced by President Abdel Fattah al-Sisi designed to attract foreign investment and create jobs in a country with a booming population of 91 million.

Heralding a new era of closer political and economic ties, China in January signed 21 investment and aid deals worth billions of dollars with Egypt during a visit by President Xi Jinping.

Among the development and infrastructure investments was a deal to build the new capital’s first phase, which Egypt has said will cost some $45 billion.

The new capital, planned to be the size of Singapore, is due to have an airport larger than London’s Heathrow, a building taller than Paris’s Eiffel Tower, and more than 10,000 km (6,200 miles) of streets and avenues.

 

(Reporting by Ali Abdelatti; writing by Amina Ismail; Editing by Kevin Liffey)

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General Electric to invest $150 mln in Nigeria

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By Ulf Laessing

LONDON (Reuters) – U.S. industrial firm General Electric plans to invest around $150 million in Nigeria by 2017, a senior executive said on Monday.

“There are development projects where we are investing,” Jay Ireland, chief executive of General Electric in Africa told the FT Africa Summit in London. GE would also invest in oil and gas industry projects.

Growth in Nigeria – an OPEC member whose economy, the largest in Africa, is in recession for the first time in more than 20 years due to low oil prices – has been stunted for decades by a lack of investment in its road and rail network.

Ireland said the Nigeria investment was part of a plan to spend $2 billion in Africa in coming years.

But the $150 million Nigerian investment falls short of the sum Nigeria’s government has said GE would invest.

President Muhammadu Buhari, on Saturday in a speech marking Nigeria’s independence day, said GE was “investing $2.2 billion in a concession to revamp, provide rolling stock, and manage” some of the country’s railway lines.

 

 

(Writing by Ulf Laessing and Alexis Akwagyiram, editing by William Hardy)

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Africa struggles to improve governance in past decade: Ibrahim survey

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By Karin Strohecker

LONDON (Reuters) – Governance across Africa has improved very little over the past decade as deteriorating safety and rule of law have held back progress made in other areas such as human rights or economic opportunities, a survey said on Monday.

The Ibrahim Index of African Governance (IIAG) – the most comprehensive survey of its kind on the continent – rates 54 African nations against criteria such as security, human rights, economic stability, just laws, free elections, corruption, infrastructure, poverty, health and education.

Mauritius held onto its top spot, followed by Botswana, Cape Verde, the Seychelles and Namibia while South Africa – the continent’s most industrialised country – was in sixth place.

While overall the index has improved by just one point over the 10 year period starting in 2006, three out of the top 10 countries have seen their score fall in this period, and major economies like South Africa and Ghana registered some of the largest deteriorations on the continent.

The survey found that almost half of Africa’s 54 countries recorded their worst score in the past three years in the Safety & Rule of Law category, which measures personal safety, national security as well as accountability and the judicial system.

“Today, current opinion focuses on the potential aftershock of deflating commodity prices and third term challengers to democracy…. What is striking is that these are not the areas which demand the most attention,” Sudanese telecoms businessman Mo Ibrahim wrote in the annual report which is compiled by his foundation and aimed at promoting better governance and economic development in Africa.

“All four components which make up Safety & Rule of Law have deteriorated…. This is holding back the continent’s progress and remains the biggest challenge to its future.”

Among the top 10 overall rated countries, six had deteriorated over the past decade in that category with South Africa registering the largest decline in what researchers called a “concerning negative trend”.

South Africa – the continent’s most industrialised country – had been teetering on the edge of recession, suffering from chronic power shortages and stubbornly high unemployment with voters increasingly frustrated with the country’s economic management under President Jacob Zuma and his ruling ANC party.

The last spot on the overall index was held by Somalia, which makes up the bottom five together with South Sudan, Sudan, the Central African Republic and Libya, which showed some of the most dramatic falls since descending into anarchy following the removal of Muammar Gaddafi in 2011.

 

ECONOMY

The category of Sustainable Economic Opportunity – looking aspects such as public management, business environment and infrastructure – had shown a slight improvement of 1.8 points.

The rise was driven by a jump in digital and IT infrastructure, the most improved indicator in the past decade across the whole index, while roads and transport also improved.

Yet other parts of the infrastructure, such as electricity, has worsened since 2006, with South Africa showing the largest drop of all countries, losing more than 30 points.

Chronic power shortages are one of the biggest obstacles to growth in countries across Africa, with a dearth of electricity or regular blackouts strangling industries.

“Forty percent of African citizens live in a country which has seen a deterioration and over half of Africa’s economy has been affected by this issue over the past decade,” the report found.

Looking at trajectories over the past decade, the report found that 32 countries – home to around half of Africa’s population – had seen their final score in 2015 falling below previous peak levels.

“There is still a long way to go. We need to be cautious and watch out for things that need to be addressed in order to make progress sustainable,” said Nathalie Delapalme, executive director of research and policy at the Mo Ibrahim Foundation

 

(Editing by Jeremy Gaunt)

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OPEC oil output hits record on Iraq, Libya boost: Reuters survey

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By Alex Lawler

LONDON (Reuters) – OPEC’s oil output is likely to reach its highest in recent history in September, a Reuters survey found on Friday, as Iraq boosted northern exports and Libya reopened some of its main oil terminals.

The increase comes despite lower output in top exporter Saudi Arabia and this week’s agreement by the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries in Algeria to limit supply to support prices, its first such decision since 2008.

Supply from OPEC has risen to 33.60 million barrels per day (bpd) in September from a revised 33.53 million bpd in August, according to the survey based on shipping data and information from industry sources.

The rise in output could add to scepticism about OPEC’s ability to allocate its new production target of between 32.50 million and 33 million bpd, a task ministers left until a meeting in November. Oil rallied towards $50 a barrel on Thursday but was trading near $49 on Friday.

“The agreement still leaves hard and difficult negotiations for the individual caps to be set,” said Bjarne Schieldrop, chief commodities analyst at SEB.

“Now, with an OPEC curb on the cards for the first time in eight years, Brent crude is not even able to lift above $50. At least not yet.”

Supply has risen since OPEC in 2014 dropped its historic role of fixing output to prop up prices as Saudi Arabia, Iraq and Iran pumped more. Production has also climbed due to the return of Indonesia in 2015 and Gabon in July as members.

The membership changes have skewed historical comparisons. September’s supply from OPEC excluding Gabon and Indonesia, at 32.65 million bpd, is the highest in Reuters survey records starting in 1997.

In September, the increase was led by Iraq and Libya. Iraqi state oil firm SOMO and Iraq’s semi-autonomous region of Kurdistan began jointly exporting crude from the Kirkuk oilfield again. This lifted Iraqi supply to market to 4.43 million bpd in September, according to the survey.

In Libya, the National Oil Corporation opened three previously blockaded ports, allowing AGOCO, an NOC subsidiary that operates mainly in eastern Libya, to boost output. [L8N1C54J2]

Supply in Saudi Arabia has edged down from the record high reached earlier in the summer, sources in the survey said.

Supply in Iran, OPEC’s fastest source of production growth earlier this year after the lifting of Western sanctions, has held steady this month as output nears the pre-sanctions rate. Iran is seeking investment to boost supply further.

Angolan output slipped because the Plutonio field was shut for part of the month.

There was no sign yet of higher supply from Nigeria, where attacks on oil installations have cut output. Supply should rise in October if efforts for a restart of Qua Iboe and Forcados crude exports come to fruition.

The Reuters survey is based on shipping data provided by external sources, Thomson Reuters flows data, and information provided by sources at oil companies, OPEC and consulting firms.

 

(Reporting by Alex Lawler; Editing by Susan Thomas)

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South African summer to be hotter than normal amid drought

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JOHANNESBURG (Reuters) – Severe drought conditions are still afflicting most of South Africa and temperatures are expected to remain above normal until mid-summer, which would be around December, the national weather service said on Monday.

In its monthly forecast which looks up to five months ahead, the South African Weather Service also said there was a “gradual improvement” in prospects for above-normal rainfall by mid-summer. A scorching drought has hit key crops such as maize, fueling inflation and denting economic growth.

 

(Reporting by Ed Stoddard; Editing by Joe Brock)

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