South Africa
Tag Archive

South Africa’s rand, stocks gain after Gordhan named as finance minister

Comments (0) Africa, Latest Updates from Reuters, Politics

JOHANNESBURG (Reuters) – South Africa’s rand strengthened more than 4 percent in early trade on Monday after President Jacob Zuma named widely-respected Pravin Gordhan as finance minister in a bid to draw a line under days of market turmoil.

Zuma gave Gordhan the job late on Sunday, in a dramatic U-turn that gave Africa’s most industrialised economy its third finance minister in a week.

Just four days earlier, the president had sacked Nhlanhla Nene as finance minister and given the job to David van Rooyen, a relatively unknown lawmaker and Zuma loyalist – a move that had triggered a wave of criticism and a sell-off on the markets.

Gordhan, who last held the post from 2009 to 2014, was due to address the media at 1pm local time (1100 GMT), a statement from the Treasury said.

South Africa is gearing up for local elections next year where the ruling African National Congress (ANC), is expected to face stiff competition from the opposition Democratic Alliance in urban areas, including the economic hub of Johannesburg. The countryside remains an ANC stronghold.

Even some supporters of the ANC, Nelson Mandela’s erstwhile liberation movement that has ruled since the end of apartheid in 1994, expressed dismay about Wednesday’s appointment of a Zuma loyalist to the crucial post. They also described his latest appointment as a sign Zuma was losing control.

“It may not be his death knell, but it’s certainly the turning of the tide,” a former senior anti-apartheid activist and ruling ANC legislator Ben Turok.

The currency fell nearly 9 percent last week following the removal of Nene, a civil servant veteran who was keen to rein in government spending.

“The markets will welcome back Gordhan to National Treasury,” Rand Merchant Bank’s currency strategist John Cairns said. “He is a known entity, is his own man and did well when in the post previously. But it is certainly unreasonable to expect all of last week’s losses to be reversed — a huge amount of uncertainty has been created in the past few days.”

By 0716 GMT, the rand had strengthened 4.53 percent against the dollar to 15.1700, recouping some losses suffered last week. The rand had traded at 14.4320 per dollar before Nene was fired.

Yields on government bonds recovered sharply in early trade, with the benchmark paper due in 2026 down 101 basis points at 9.37 percent.

 

MARKETS CHEER GORDHAN

The rally may also be limited if the Federal Reserve, the U.S. central bank, raises interest rates on Wednesday – a move set to put emerging markets like South Africa under strain.

“Markets should rally back very strongly but I would not expect a total retracement with a permanent loss of trust in leadership even if we are in a better place,” said Peter Attard Montalto of Nomura in London.

The removal of Nene also led to a selling frenzy in South African banking stocks, which dropped nearly 20 percent on investor worries that the country’s credit rating would slip into “junk” status.

On the bourse, the banking index shot up 12 percent, having dropped nearly 20 percent after Nene was removed.

The Johannesburg Security Exchange’s broad All-Share index was up 2 percent to 49,051 points by 0734 GMT.

Zuma said the about-face decision was prompted by many calls to rethink his decision.

South Africa’s Beeld newspaper, citing an informed person, said Gordhan’s appointment was preceded by a crisis meeting between Zuma, politicians and representatives of the private sector on Sunday afternoon.

 

(By Tiisetso Motsoeneng and Nqobile Dludla. Additional reporting by James Macharia and Zandi Shabalala; Writing by James Macharia)

Read more

South Africa’s stocks extend losses after Nene sacking

Comments (0) Africa, Business, Latest Updates from Reuters

JOHANNESBURG (Reuters) – South Africa’s main stock index slumped more than 2 percent on Friday as jittery investors continued to pull out of the market after Wednesday’s shock dismissal of the finance minister.

Banks, which are most at risk if South Africa’s credit rating is downgraded in the wake of the removal of Nhlanhla Nene, led the decliners, with Barclays Africa plummeting nearly 20 percent.

 

 

 

(Reporting by Tiisetso Motsoeneng; Editing by James Macharia)

Read more

Zuma’s firing of South African finance minister dismays investors, ANC supporters

Comments (0) Africa, Business, Latest Updates from Reuters

JOHANNESBURG (Reuters) – South African President Jacob Zuma’s sacking of his respected finance minister in favour of a relative unknown has shocked investors and emboldened critics who say the 73-year-old is driving the economy to ruin.

Even some supporters of the African National Congress (ANC), Nelson Mandela’s erstwhile liberation movement that has ruled since the end of apartheid in 1994, expressed dismay about Wednesday’s appointment of a Zuma loyalist to the crucial post.

Zuma gave no details as to why on Wednesday he dismissed Nhlanhla Nene, who has overseen the Treasury for just under two years, other than to say he had “done well… during a difficult economic climate”.

Markets reacted unambiguously, with the rand plunging to a record low against the dollar, losing just over five percent since Nene was removed. The Johannesburg Stock Exchange’s banking index lost 13.5 percent on Thursday.

New Finance Minister David van Rooyen acknowledged he had taken on “a colossal assignment”.

Local media speculated this week that Nene might be on the chopping block after he rebuked Dudu Myeni, the chairwoman of state-owned South African Airways and a close ally of Zuma, for mismanaging a 1 billion rand ($67 million) deal with Airbus.

Myeni is executive chairwoman of Zuma’s charitable trust, the Jacob Zuma Foundation.

The main opposition party went on the attack. “It is clear that if you stand up to Zuma, you don’t stick around,” Mmusi Maimane, leader of the Democratic Alliance, told Reuters. “Zuma has reached new heights as a leader who puts himself ahead of his country and the economy.”

Zuma’s office did not respond to Reuters requests for comment. The ANC said in a statement it “notes and respects” the president’s decision.

 

“TOO MUCH CORRUPTION”

The sacking and the financial fallout hit a raw nerve with some ordinary South Africans. “With the rand getting battered like this, firing Nene is not the right move,” said Dominic Ratau, a 74-year-old pensioner and lifelong ANC loyalist, expressing his dissatisfaction with Zuma.

“I’ve been an ANC supporter because of the older generation who were running the party. But this guy is leading the country to disaster. He’s allowed too much corruption.”

Nene’s reluctance to rubber-stamp an ambitious plan to build a number of nuclear power stations to ease severe electricity shortages, a project that might cost as much as $100 billion, is also seen as contributing to his downfall.

His successor van Rooyen is an ANC lawmaker who sits on parliament’s finance committee.

Van Rooyen said he would implement policies aimed at creating favourable investment conditions after he was sworn in. “Mine is a colossal assignment coming at a time when the global economic outlook is not favourable, more especially for emerging markets,” van Rooyen said.

Many economists have questioned van Rooyen’s ability to steady an economy being hammered by the collapse in prices of South Africa’s commodity exports that range from coal to gold, and raised concerns that public spending could spiral out of control.

Credit agency Fitch downgraded South Africa last Friday, leaving the continent’s most sophisticated economy just one notch about “junk” status, and said on Thursday Nene’s firing “raised more negative than positive questions”.

A Reuters poll on Wednesday showed analysts expect the economy to grow just 1.4 percent this year and 1.6 percent next, 0.1 percentage points lower than last month’s forecasts.

 

WHO’S NEXT?

Nene’s removal has raised speculation about more casualties within Zuma’s team, after the axing in September of mining minister Ngoako Ramatlhodi, who investors said had done a decent job in a tough but crucial portfolio.

South Africa is gearing up for important local elections next year where the ANC is expected to be run close by the Democratic Alliance in urban areas, including the economic hub of Johannesburg. The countryside remains an ANC stronghold.

Significant erosion of ANC control in metropolitan powerbases could strengthen Zuma’s opponents, especially if South Africans blame him for the floundering economy.

“Zuma’s power is becoming more brittle and his lines of support stretched thinner and thinner,” said political analyst Nic Borain. “He is engaging in actions that parts of his party find repulsive and there is a point beyond which a system under stress can quickly unravel as the connections snap.”

A #ZumaMustFall Twitter campaign kicked off within hours of Zuma’s announcement, echoing one earlier this year calling for the removal of colonial-era statues.

 

SCANDAL

Zuma, a polygamous Zulu traditionalist with little formal schooling, has been beset by scandal throughout his career. In 2005 he was charged with raping a woman he knew to HIV-positive, but was found not guilty when the court ruled the sex was consensual.

Last year, the Public Protector, the top anti-corruption watchdog, ruled that he had “benefited unduly” from a 246 million rand state-funded security upgrade to his private home that included a swimming pool and amphitheatre.

Despite this, he has maintained his authority and standing in the ANC. His presidential term ends in 2019. Were he to be forced out early, his ex-wife and African Union head Nkosazana Dlamini-Zuma, and deputy president Cyril Ramaphosa, are the front-runners to succeed him.

 

(By Joe Brock and Ed Cropley. Additional reporting by Nqobile Dludla and Mfuneko Toyana; Writing by Joe Brock; Editing by James Macharia and David Stamp)

Read more

South Africa preparing for “worst-case” maize import scenario

Comments (0) Africa, Business, Latest Updates from Reuters

JOHANNESBURG (Reuters) – South Africa is laying the groundwork in case it needs to import as much as 4 million tonnes of maize after successive seasons of drought threaten the crop in Africa’s top producer of the grain, which is usually a net exporter.

Siyabonga Gama, chief executive of Transet, South Africa’s state-run ports and rail company, told Reuters in an interview on Tuesday the company’s talks with the industry indicated that 4 million tonnes was the “worst-case scenario”.

“The rail side is not the issue. We have the capacity there to absorb that much maize,” he said.

He said South Africa’s ports were designed mostly to export grain rather than import it, but this hurdle could be overcome.

“The issue is the import silo capacity so there are a few things that we will need to tweak. It could still be done.”

Other industry scenarios see a need to import perhaps 2.5 million tonnes or even as little as 700,000 tonnes, depending on rainfall patterns for the rest of the season.

The outlook is not good as an El Nino weather system is exacerbating a scorching start to the growing season, following drought conditions in the previous one which shrivelled the crop by a third to 9.94 million tonnes, the lowest since 2007.

This is helping to fuel inflation in Africa’s most advanced economy as the white variety of maize is a staple that provides much of South Africa’s caloric intake.

South Africa’s central bank has repeatedly voiced its concern this year about the impact of drought and food prices on the inflation outlook.

The March maize contract climbed over 2 percent to an all-time high of 3,662 rand ($247) a tonne on Tuesday after forecast rain over the weekend in the western part of the maize belt failed to meet expectations.

The December contract is fetching 3,705 rand a tonne, up 75 percent so far in 2015 and within striking distance of its record high of 4,000 rand reached last year, according to Thomson Reuters data.

“Initial indications are that it is going to be a very big import year. We will firm up the actual demand by January or February and we will have a plan at the correct time,” Gama said.

He said aside from the main grain facilities at the ports of Durban and East London, South Africa can also use Port Elizabeth and Cape Town and could even use Richards Bay, mostly used for coal exports, in a pinch.

 

(By Ed Stoddard. Editing by James Macharia and David Evans)

Read more

South32 to cut more than 400 jobs at South African manganese mine

Comments (0) Africa, Business, Latest Updates from Reuters

JOHANNESBURG (Reuters) – Australian-listed South32 plans to cut 447 jobs at a South African manganese mine, the National Union of Mineworkers (NUM) said on Monday, in the latest in a slew of layoffs in the embattled industry.

The union, which is the country’s largest mining labour body, said it had received notice from South32 that the company planned to cut the jobs and called on the mines ministry to “intervene to halt” to prevent the layoffs.

NUM said over 1,000 workers are employed at the Hotazel mine in Kuruman, about 550 km (341 miles) south east of Johannesburg.

South32 spokeswoman Lulu Letlape said the company was consulting with employees through unions on job cuts. Voluntary redundancies and early retirements were being considered to minimize the impact on workers, she said.

South32 produces manganese, silver, nickel and coking coal, some of the industrial mainstays that have been hardest hit globally in the wake of China’s economic slowdown.

South32, which was spun off from BHP Billiton in May, said its review of its South African manganese operations would be completed by December and said its mines were unlikely to restart until January.

Mining companies in South Africa are under pressure from rising costs and falling prices, forcing companies to close shafts and cut jobs to survive, angering unions, which have opposed the layoffs.

 

(Reporting by Zandi Shabalala; Editing by James Macharia and Louise Heavens)

Read more

South African stocks fall to 3-1/2 month low, rand firms

Comments (0) Africa, Business, Latest Updates from Reuters

JOHANNESBURG (Reuters) – South African stocks fell by more than 2 percent on Friday as investors priced in a possible downgrade from ratings agencies, while the rand rallied as the greenback failed to make meaningful gains.

Standard & Poor’s kept South Africa’s credit rating at BBB- on Friday but changed its outlook to negative from stable, saying this reflected the view that economic growth might be lower than expected.

Fitch, which was due to issue its rating statement later, rates South Africa at “BBB” with a negative outlook and warned of a possible downgrade in September.

The benchmark Top-40 index slipped 2.26 percent to 44,347 points while the broader All-Share index fell by the same margin to 49,284 points.

“The market pricing in a bit of weakness coming in from the expected downgrade from Fitch and S&P later today. We are seeing weakness across the board,” said Ryan Woods, a trader from Independent Securities.

Furniture retailer Steinhoff fell 7.23 percent to 77 rand after the company said it was being investigated by the German authorities for the accounting of certain transactions by its German unit.

MTN Group fell 3 percent to 135.74 rands after Nigeria’s telecoms regulator said it had cut a fine on Africa’s biggest mobile firm by 25 percent to $3.9 billion, and blamed a typing error for an announcement on Thursday it had reduced the penalty by 35 percent to $3.4 billion.

Trade was highly active, with 419 million shares exchanging hands – the highest since June 18 – compared with last year’s daily average of 187 million shares.

On the forex market, the rand inched up, having fallen briefly to 14.3500 to the dollar after S&P’s outlook downgrade.

By 1704 GMT the rand was at 14.3300 against the greenback, 0.24 percent up Thursday’s close of 14.3645.

The dollar was nearly flat against the euro despite stronger-than-expected U.S. monthly jobs data, as markets continued to digest Thursday’s unexpectedly small stimulus from the European Central Bank.

“It shows that there is a lot priced in this market and as a consequence when the data comes through there isn’t much follow through,” said Barclays Africa currency strategist Mike Keenan.

Government bonds were quoted weaker.

The yield for the benchmark instrument maturing in 2026 rose by 1.5 basis points to 8.650 percent, after touching its highest since late Fed 2014 in early trade.

 

(Reporting by Zandi Shabalala and Nqobile Dludla; Editing by James Macharia)

Read more

S&P holds South Africa’s credit rating; downgrades outlook to negative

Comments (0) Africa, Business, Latest Updates from Reuters

JOHANNESBURG (Reuters) – Standard & Poor’s kept South Africa’s credit rating at BBB- on Friday but changed its outlook to negative from stable, saying this reflected the view that economic growth might be lower than expected.

In a statement, S&P said it expected GDP growth in 2016 to remain around 1.6 percent and only increase above 2 percent from 2017 as the capacity of electricity supply improved.

“The negative outlook reflects our view that GDP growth might be lower than we currently expect, or that fiscal flexibility might reduce owing to contingency risks from state-owned entities with weak balance sheets,” it said.

The Treasury did not immediately comment on the S&P move on Friday, with a spokeswoman saying it would issue a statement once the Fitch review was out.

The rand currency briefly turned weaker against the dollar after the statement, before recouping some of the losses.

“The decision to change the outlook … speaks volumes of the steady deterioration in credit metrics that has enveloped South Africa post-crisis,” Standard Chartered analyst Razia said, referring to the 2008/2009 crisis during which South Africa fell into recession.

“The potential loss of South Africa’s hard-won investment grade rating, should serve as a wake-up call to try even harder to arrest this deterioration.”

S&P had said in March Pretoria’s rating was unlikely to change in the next 24 months, but warned an electricity crunch would shave 0.3 percent off economic growth this year.

Africa’s most industrialised but struggling economy has seen its sovereign ratings by Moody’s and S&P gradually slip to just one notch above non-investment grade.

Fitch, which rates South Africa at BBB with a negative outlook, was also due to issue a review later on Friday.

The agency said in October that weakened economic growth compounded South Africa’s fiscal challenges.

The National Treasury cut its economic growth forecast for 2015 to 1.5 percent in October from the 2 percent predicted in February, citing domestic energy constraints and the impact of a global slowdown

 

(Reporting by Stella Mapenzauswa; Editing by James Macharia)

Read more

Nigeria cuts MTN fine by more than a third to $3.4 bil

Comments (0) Africa, Business, Latest Updates from Reuters

JOHANNESBURG (Reuters) – Nigeria has cut a fine imposed on MTN Group by more than a third to $3.4 billion and given the South African mobile phone operator until the end of the year to pay it, the company said on Thursday.

The Nigerian Communications Commission handed Africa’s biggest mobile phone company the penalty in October after MTN failed to cut off users with unregistered SIM cards from its network.

Nigeria, MTN’s biggest market, has been pushing telecoms firms to verify the identity of subscribers amid worries unregistered SIM cards were being used for criminal activity in a country facing the insurgency of Islamic militant group Boko Haram.

The fine, originally $5.2 billion, prompted MTN to hold talks with the NCC over the past five weeks seeking a reduction.

“After further engagements with the Nigerian authorities, the NCC has reduced the imposed fine,” MTN said in statement.

The company, which makes about 37 percent of its sales from Nigeria, said it was considering the NCC’s decision.

“Executive Chairman Phuthuma Nhleko will immediately and urgently re-engage with the Nigerian authorities before responding formally,” it said.

Nhleko, who took charge for up to six months after the abrupt resignation last month of Sifiso Dabengwa, led the company for nine years before stepping down in 2011.

The fine came months after Muhammadu Buhari swept to power in Africa’s biggest oil producer, after a campaign in which he promised tougher regulation and a fight against corruption.

It also came after the kidnapping on Sept. 21 of Olu Falae, former Nigerian finance minister, by people whom the regulator said had used MTN phone lines to negotiate a ransom.

Some analysts have said the size of the fine risked damaging Nigeria’s efforts to shake off its image as a risky frontier market for international investors. Others said the fine showed Africa’s biggest economy was keen to enforce the law.

Separately, MTN announced a shake-up of its senior management structure in an effort to strengthen oversight, governance and regulatory compliance across its operations in 22 countries in Africa and the Middle East.

MTN’s Nigeria head Michael Ikpoki and the head of regulatory and corporate affairs Akinwale Goodluck have resigned with immediate effect, MTN said.

The company named Jyoti Desai, a 14-year veteran of the Johannesburg-based firm, as chief operating officer with effect from Dec. 1. Desai’s replacement as Group Chief Technology and Information Officer will be announced soon, MTN said.

 

(By Tiisetso Motsoeneng. Editing by Miral Fahmy and Mark Potter)

Read more

South Africa’s Financial Minister says ratings downgrade would impact markets

Comments (0) Africa, Business, Latest Updates from Reuters

PRETORIA (Reuters) – South Africa’s finance minister said on Wednesday that a potential credit ratings downgrade would impact markets in Africa’s most industrialised economy.

The rand remained on fragile ground against the dollar as investors fretted about a possible credit rating downgrade.

“We are always on the lookout for such. We are always on alert. If it does happen, it will have an impact on markets,” Finance Minister Nhlanhla Nene told Reuters before the South Africa-China bilateral talks in Pretoria.

By 1445 GMT the rand, which hit an all-time low of 14.4950 versus the greenback in the previous session, was trading 0.3 percent higher at 14.3925.

Traders said investors were focused on Friday’s reviews from Fitch, which rates South Africa at BBB with a negative outlook and warned of a possible downgrade in September, and from Standard & Poor’s, which has it at BBB- with a stable outlook.

“The currency situation is doing what it is supposed to do,” Nene said. “Our floating exchange rate serves as a shock absorber when it comes to external shocks and we have seen that happening. It supports our manufacturing and export industries.”

Nene backed a decision by the central bank, which raised interest rates to 6.25 percent last month, citing that the priority for monetary policy was to keep inflation within a 3-6 percent target range.

Headline consumer inflation ticked up to 4.7 percent year-on-year in October compared with 4.6 percent in September.

“It is meant to send a signal to try and deal with inflation expectations. I think it was timely,” Nene said.

 

(Reporting by Joe Brock; Editing by James Macharia)

Read more

South Africa’s Harmony Gold pays off debt as weaker rand lifts revenue

Comments (0) Africa, Business, Latest Updates from Reuters

JOHANNESBURG (Reuters) – Harmony Gold has repaid debt of 1.1 billion rand ($78 million) after benefiting from South Africa’s weaker rand currency, the company said on Wednesday, sending its shares rising.

Harmony has repaid $50 million on a $250 million revolving credit facility and another 400 million on its 1.3 billion rand facility, the company said in a statement, adding that its mines were performing in line with the set targets.

The company generates more than 90 percent of its revenue in South Africa, but has plans to expand into Papua New Guinea, where it jointly owns the project to develop the massive Golpu deposit with Australia’s Newcrest.

“Our hard work of the last couple of years is finally paying off, enabling us to reduce our debt, strengthen our balance sheet and provide us with even more certainty that we can fund the Golpu project,” Harmony Chief Executive Graham Briggs.

Shares in Harmony climbed 7.38 percent to 9.46 rand by 1130 GMT following the news, compared to a 2 percent rise in the Johannesburg Securities Exchange’s Gold Mining Index.

($1 = 14.3360 rand)

 

(Reporting by TJ Strydom; Editing by James Macharia)

tagreuters.com2015binary_LYNXMPEBB10G9-VIEWIMAGE

Read more