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Kenyan finance minister raises budget deficit forecast

Comments (0) Africa, Latest Updates from Reuters, Politics

NAIROBI (Reuters) – Kenya is aiming for a budget deficit of 9.3 percent of GDP in fiscal year 2016/17 and plans to borrow 150 billion shillings ($1.48 billion) from external sources, probably by selling international bonds, officials said on Wednesday.

Finance Minister Henry Rotich said in a budget speech the deficit would be 691.5 billion shillings ($6.9 billion).

Kamau Thuge, the principal secretary at the ministry of finance, later told Reuters that figure would be equivalent to 9.3 percent of GDP.

Rotich gave the 150 billion shilling borrowing figure at a post-budget news conference. “We are still looking at accessing capital markets by way of sovereign bonds, we are looking at export credit arrangements and also bilateral and syndicated loans,” he said.

In April the finance ministry said the actual deficit in fiscal year 2016/17, which starts on July 1, would probably be around 6.9 percent of GDP, because ministries often struggle to spend their allocations.

“The failure to consolidate the fiscal balance any faster will be of some concern to markets,” Standard Chartered economist Razia Khan said. “Kenya’s accumulation of external debt has outpaced its ability to generate faster export growth to repay this debt.”

But Rotich said Kenya’s public debt “remains sustainable”, with the net present value of public debt to GDP below 50 percent and posing a “low risk of debt distress” based on assessments by the government, World Bank and International Monetary Fund.

“We remain committed to bringing the fiscal deficit down gradually to below 4 percent of GDP in the medium term,” he added. In the 2015/16 fiscal year ending this month, the forecast deficit was 8.7 percent of GDP, but has since been revised down.

“Our target to generate 1 million new jobs remains,” Rotich said, adding that he expected the economy to grow 6 percent in calendar year 2016 and by 7 percent in the medium term, compared with 5.6 percent growth last year.

The minister also outlined measures to boost revenue collection, including the potential introduction of a presumptive tax for those in the informal sector, who usually fall under the radar of the revenue authority.

“If everybody paid their fair share of taxes we would be in a better position to lower tax rates,” Rotich told lawmakers.

Thuge told Reuters local borrowing would remain nearly constant at 3 percent of GDP, ensuring local interest rates would not be under pressure.

 

($1 = 101.0000 Kenyan shillings)

 

(Reporting by Duncan Miriri. Editing by Elias Biryabarema and Catherine Evans)

 

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Rwanda says eyeing $200 mln worth of short-term facility from IMF

Comments (0) Africa, Business, Latest Updates from Reuters

KIGALI (Reuters) – Rwanda said on Wednesday it had asked the International Monetary Fund to offer it a short term facility worth $200 million to help fend off foreign exchange risks in case the country’s reserves dwindled.

The central African state has previously said it had approached the IMF for help but had not revealed the amount involved.

“The IMF facility is actually to help us not going into problems and that facility is $200 million,” Finance Minister Claver Gatere said at a post-budget press briefing in the capital Kigali.

Gatere said Rwandan authorities expected the IMF to announce a decision on their request “tonight” (Wednesday).

In the budget speech, Gatere said Rwanda’s overall expenditure in 2016/17 fiscal year would rise to 1.95 trillion francs ($2.60 billion) from 1.81 trillion francs in the year ending this June.

 

(Reporting by Clement Uwiringiyimana; editing by Elias Biryabarema/Mark Heinrich)

 

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South Africa’s Transnet transports monthly record of manganese

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JOHANNESBURG (Reuters) – South Africa’s Transnet Freight Rail moved a record number of manganese shipments in May due to new trains and improved market conditions, the company said on Wednesday.

Transnet Freight moved 1.053 million tons in May from a previous high of 976,671 tons in October 2015.

“The record-breaking performance is due to a significant improvement in efficiencies across the channels which were driven by the introduction of new locomotives among other things,” Transnet Freight Rail said in a statement.

State-owned Transnet plans to spend up to 390 billion rand ($26 billion) over ten years to expand and revamp railways, pipelines and ports in Africa’s most advanced economy, which is struggling with flagging growth.

More than 75 percent of the new locomotive railway fleet is used to move manganese, used as a component to keep steel from rusting. The company also moves coal, chrome and iron ore.

The company also said there was “an upturn in market conditions”. A company spokesman said the company able to move more volumes from mining companies.

($1 = 14.9650 rand)

 

(Reporting by Zandi Shabalala, editing by Louise Heavens)

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The African body SABER looks to revolutionize energy in Africa

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SABER

Since 2009, SABER has been working to change the nature of energy within Africa.

Energy is at the very core of how economies and societies develop, and yet the sources of energy have become huge issues in recent years. Every developed nation in the world fueled its economic growth off the back of fossil fuels, but as finite resources dwindle, nations are looking for more sustainable means of energy.

In developing regions of the world this is an issue that relates to more than just growth, but also to the well-being of its citizens. The pollution caused by traditional fuels often affects the poorest people the most, and as urban centers become the financial heart of emerging markets, the need for greener energy has become increasingly stark.

The African group SABER is a prime example of people taking the initiative to change the face of energy within their markets.

What is SABER?

The African Society of BioFuels and Renewable Energies (ABREC/SABER) was established in 2009, to work towards creating cleaner and more sustainable sources of energy in Africa. The body is a public-private partnership (PPP) which is funded by 15 African nations in conjunction with various private enterprises.

SABER CEO Thierno Bocar oversees the organization’s work from its central office in the Togolese capital, Lomé.

Saber CEO Thierno Bocar

Saber CEO Thierno Bocar

SABER’s mission statement outlines how significant sustainable forms of energy will be for the emerging markets of Africa, saying, “Transitioning to clean energy is all the more demanding because energy needs are foreseen to expand considerably in Africa over the coming decades with new investment of about two thirds of existing capacity needed to keep pace with Africa’s growth.”

Although the organization is only 7 years old, it has already established a number of strong collaborative partnerships, and has turned ideas into realities. SABER was self-funded by 2012, which meant it had met its goal of being an independent advisory body to the public. In 2013, the group signed an agreement with the Committee on Economic and Monetary Union of West Africa (UEMOA), in which additional funding was allocated to move forward with several SABER projects.

Ideas turned into actions

The most notable of these projects has been the construction of solar powered street lighting across 3 African nations. Togo and Sierra Leone have both had 13,000 solar powered street lamps built, while a further 15,000 have been constructed in Benin. These developments alone are worth around $175 million of investment.

Solar energy features prominently in SABER proposals, alongside hydro-electricity and geothermal energy. These forms of energy are not only clean, but access the continent’s own resources intelligently.

CEO Thierno Bocar stated that within West Africa there were currently three areas that “have been selected: solar street lighting, rural electrification using solar kits or small-scale plants and the installation.”

However, SABER’s work is already expanding as it aims to address renewable energy needs across the continent.

Courtesy of SABER projects, there are currently solar power plants in 8 African nations, geothermal power stations in Kenya and Ethiopia, and a hydro-electric power plant in Uganda.

Continued growth

SABER has established relationships with The African Development Bank and USAID, but 2016 has seen further developments in their cooperative efforts. SABER recently announced a partnership with Oragroup that will provide further revenue for the growing number of energy projects across Africa. Oragroup wants to be known as the leading bank in Africa for fighting climate change, and Mr. Bocar described the $233 million platform as enabling “project arrangement with high added value.”

SABER’s continued growth constitutes more than its own ventures, as Bocar wants to foster environments in which local people drive change and grassroots initiatives can flourish. The plans to help build such a foundation are already in place, as SABER offers expert advice to governments, and is also striving to fund the Seeded Green African Development Fund. This structure will enable private equity to fund small-scale projects across the continent, with an initial goal of a $150 million fund over the next 10 years.

Of course, if SABER’s successes catch the imagination of others, and governments make the most of the support the organization offers, then organic growth within sustainable energy projects could well eclipse such targets. If it does then it will benefit not only Africa, but the world.

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South Africa’s rand halts rally, GDP data, Fitch review keep market wary

Comments (0) Africa, Business, Latest Updates from Reuters

JOHANNESBURG (Reuters) – The rand pulled back from the previous session’s four-week highs against the dollar on Wednesday and traders said South African GDP data expected to show a small contraction in the first quarter could add pressure on the currency.

The rand has gained as much as 5 percent against the dollar since Friday, reaching 14.7995 on Tuesday in a relief rally prompted by S&P’s decision to maintain South Africa’s investment grade BBB- rating.

The currency however gave back some of those gains on Wednesday to trade at 14.9175/dollar by 0650 GMT, down 0.1 percent from the previous session’s close.

Traders saw a risk to the currency from Statistics South Africa’s GDP data due out at 0930 GMT, with economists polled by Reuters expecting the economy to have shrunk 0.1 percent on a quarter-on-quarter annualised basis in the first three months of the year.

“If this is indeed the case there is not much chance the rand will be able to continue its journey lower (firmer),” Standard Bank trader Warrick Butler said in a note to clients.

Another rand-moving headline could be a review from Fitch, which is also expected to retain its own BBB- rating on Africa’s most industrialised economy, although it could change the outlook to negative from stable.

Fitch has not set a date for its announcement, but the Treasury has said it expects it on June 8.

In fixed income on Wednesday, the yield on debt maturing in 2026 was flat at 9.1 percent.

The JSE securities exchange’s Top-40 futures index was down 0.4 percent, pointing to a slightly weak start for the local bourse at 0700 GMT.

 

(Reporting by Stella Mapenzauswa; Editing by Ed Stoddard)

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South Africa’s Telkom agrees performance-based pay deal with unions

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JOHANNESBURG (Reuters) – South African fixed line telecoms network operator Telkom has reached a performance-based pay deal with two of it three largest labour unions while agreeing not to cut jobs for two years, the company said on Tuesday.

Telkom, reported a 15 percent rise in full-year profits on Monday after completing a three-year restructuring as it adapts the business to slowing revenue from fixed-line telephony and a sharp increase in data traffic.

The firm said on Tuesday it had signed a deal with Solidarity and the South African Communications Union to implement a performance-based remuneration scheme for both individual employees and teams. A third union, the Communications Workers Union, has agreed in principle, Telkom said.

“The agreement covers Telkom’s 11,000 unionised employees, out of a total headcount of just over 13,500 at the end of March 2016,” Telkom said in a statement.

As part of the deal, Telkom committed to no compulsory job cuts for the next two years and limiting outsourcing moves to less than 1,000 employees over the same period.

Telkom, in which the government owns a stake of about 40 percent, said it would not be offering any employee an annual increase in pay this year but was willing to pay workers more if they reached certain targets.

“The company is offering employees the opportunity to earn up to 12 percent more each month should they meet and exceed sales and customer service targets,” Telkom said.

 

(Reporting by TJ Strydom; Editing by James Macharia, Greg Mahlich)

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Swiss and UK watchdogs quiz Credit Suisse over Mozambique loans

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ZURICH (Reuters) – Switzerland’s financial watchdog said it is in touch with Credit Suisse over Mozambique’s undeclared loans, while Britain’s regulator is also making inquiries, according to a source familiar with the situation.

In April, Mozambique, one of the world’s poorest countries, disclosed as much as $1.35 billion of sovereign borrowing that may have made its debt unsustainable.

Swiss bank Credit Suisse and Russia’s VTB have been active in Mozambique, arranging loans for state-owned firms as well as helping with a eurobond issue.

A spokesman for Swiss financial watchdog FINMA told Reuters on Tuesday it was in contact with Credit Suisse over its engagement with the sub-Saharan African nation.

“We are aware of the issue and are in contact with the bank over this matter,” he said on Tuesday, declining to give any further details.

Separately, a source told Reuters on Monday that the UK’s Financial Conduct Authority (FCA), was looking into the role both Credit Suisse and VTB played.

Credit Suisse declined comment.

VTB said it had been open and transparent with the regulator on the Mozambique transaction and was not aware of any investigations.

“As we previously said, the total public debt number disclosed in the prospectus of the issued sovereign eurobond was inclusive of all outstanding direct and publicly guaranteed government debt, as confirmed to us by Ministry of Finance of Mozambique,” the Russian bank said.

Mozambique’s foreign debt – including $2 billion of commercial borrowing arranged without consulting parliament as required – has ballooned in the last four years, largely due to expectations it was set to become a major natural gas producer.

However, those expectations are now being shown to be wildly premature, leaving the country with a foreign debt burden equal to $400 per head – only a fraction below the International Monetary Fund’s $435 annual per capita GDP estimate.

 

(Reporting by Joshua Franklin and Oliver Hirt in Zurich, Alexander Winning in Moscow and Ed Cropley in Luanda; Editing by Michael Shields and Alexander Smith)

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Herman Heunis: the tech entrepreneur who stepped away from the limelight

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Herman Heunis

What’s next for Herman Heunis, the man who created “Africa’s Facebook”?

Herman Heunis is the man who created MXit, which was at one point Africa’s most subscribed to social media platform. Born in Namibia, Heunis grew up in a rural community where his parents ran a sheep farm, but Heunis was drawn to technology as a young man. Having moved to South Africa, Heunis attended Stellenbosch University in 1977 and 3 years later began his career in computer programming.

It was not until 1990 that Heunis launched the first of his own businesses, when he created an ICT consultancy firm. This was followed in 1998 by the launch of Swist Group Technologies, an information and communication technology company which specialized in software development. This entrepreneurial spirit would eventually lead to the formation of MXit.

The MXit explosion

MXit was launched in 2005 as an instant messaging service in Stellenbosch, and it took a rapid hold within the youth of South Africa. By 2013, MXit had a larger user base in South Africa than Facebook, with 45 million registered users in the country. This user base was growing by 60,000 new registered members per day, and 750 million daily messages were being sent across the MXit network.

MXit had originally been created as a mobile game, but it struggled to find sponsors, and the gaming angle was eventually removed. Heunis explained the evolution of the MXit service saying, “An integral part of the game was communication between players. After several metamorphoses we dropped the game idea and focused only on the communication part – that worked extremely well.”

The MXit application on iPhone

The MXit application on iPhone

When MXit was launched the entire team consisted of Heunis and 7 employees, but the rapid growth of the service attracted attention and further investment. Only 2 years into its existence, MXit received major investment from the Internet giant Naspers. What had been an 8 person company grew to employing 150 people as MXit looked to expand its reach far beyond the confines of South Africa.

Through innovative viral marketing, Heunis secured 500,000 users in Indonesia, and while the core of MXit’s users was still in South Africa, the platform was being used in more than 120 countries by 2011. The speed of MXit’s success and growth was impressive, but Heunis does not like to take all the credit, saying, “Timing was perfect and I had a fantastic team. The word ‘failure’ was never an option.”

Selling up and moving on

At the height of MXit’s popularity, Heunis made a shock decision, and decided to sell the company. Stepping down from his CEO position at the end of 2011, Heunis completed the sale of his company in 2012 to Alan Knott-Craig Jr. The decision was evidently a difficult one to make as Heunis said, “Selling a company that you have started is traumatic. Fact of the matter was, I was extremely tired and burned out, and staying on as CEO was not in the interest of the company.”

Knott-Craig Jr’s company, World of Avatar, did not grow MXit as Heunis might have hoped to see. In fact, in 2015 MXit was closed down, and Heunis expressed his disappointment on Twitter. Heunis tweeted that he regretted being too burnt out to continue at the helm in 2011, but that he truly believes that MXit had “all the ingredients to become a major success story.”

Heunis has said that his motto is “You are the captain of your ship,” and it appears that without its captain, MXit experienced a rapid decline after its sale to World of Avatar. As numbers dwindled the reversal of the company’s fortunes could not be stopped, and what had been Africa’s largest social media network ceased to exist.

Since departing from MXit, Heunis has stayed away from the limelight, and thrown himself into various hobbies including endurance bike races such as the Absa Cape Epic.

While MXit’s sale has ensured that Heunis need never work again, it was never money that motivated him anyway. Heunis has said, “For a true entrepreneur, the satisfaction of creating outweighs the money rewards.”

With that in mind, it would be too soon to say that we have seen the last of Heunis as an entrepreneur, but he says he has no immediate plans to return to the world of technology.

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Kenya’s tourism earnings fall 3 pct in 2015

Comments (0) Africa, Business, Latest Updates from Reuters

NAIROBI (Reuters) – Kenya’s revenue from its tourism sector dropped 2.87 percent last year to 84.6 billion shillings ($837.21 million), its tourism minister said.

Visitor numbers and earnings have plunged in the past four years as al Shabaab militants from neighbouring Somalia launched attacks on Kenyan soil in retaliation for Kenya’s military intervention.

Showing the depth of the fall, tourist arrivals fell from 1.8 million in 2011 to 1.18 million last year. The country earned 98.9 billion shillings in 2011 compared with the 84.6 billion shillings last year.

Najib Balala said the sector was on course for a recovery in 2018, in line with government plans, but cautioned that violent protests against the country’s electoral body could curb arrivals.

“A lot of people I meet are saying Kenya is maturing but when they see the incidents of the last weeks, they say we are going backwards,” he told Reuters on Monday.

“My concern is that, the efforts and the road map is working very well, I don’t want the political noise to interrupt that programme.”

Tourism is one of the main hard currency earners for Kenya.

President Uhuru Kenyatta’s government wants to bring in 3 million visitors a year according to its manifesto when it was elected in early 2013.

Efforts to revive the sector include boosting security, opening new source markets such as Nigeria and Poland and increased budgetary allocations to the sector.

Visitors are expected to rise by a third this year to 1.6 million and to recover to 1.8 million in 2018, matching a record high set in 2011.

($1 = 101.0500 Kenyan shillings)

 

(Reporting by John Ndiso; Writing by Duncan Miriri; Editing by Alison Williams)

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Fitch may keep South Africa rating but cut outlook, analysts say

Comments (0) Africa, Business, Latest Updates from Reuters

JOHANNESBURG (Reuters) – Ratings agency Fitch is likely to affirm South Africa’s investment grade credit rating this week but may lower its outlook to negative, analysts said, as Africa’s most industrialised economy grapples with slow growth.

South Africa has dodged downgrades from S&P Global Ratings and Moody’s, taking some pressure off President Jacob Zuma ahead of elections in August and giving policymakers more time to implement reforms to boost GDP growth.

Fitch, which rates South Africa one step above speculative grade with a stable outlook, has not said when it will publish its review. The Treasury has said it expects the review on June 8.

“We expect Fitch to affirm the rating at BBB- but change the outlook to negative, bringing them in line with S&P,” Rand Merchant Bank analyst John Cairns said.

“The announcement will be a small negative and will not fully offset the positive news from S&P.”

Three other analysts Reuters spoke to expected much the same result.

S&P said on Friday it was sticking to its BBB- rating on South Africa, one notch above non-investment grade. But it warned that its negative outlook reflected the potential adverse consequences of low GDP growth. Last month, Moody’s kept its rating at Baa2.

The rand and government bonds jumped after the S&P review, with the currency trading 0.3 percent firmer, while the benchmark bond due in 2026 and the country’s dollar-denominated bonds firmed.

Rating agencies had warned of possible cuts to South Africa’s credit standing after Zuma rattled investors by changing finance ministers twice in less than a week in December, triggering a cross-asset selloff.

In its last review, released on Dec. 4, before Zuma swapped his finance ministers, Fitch had said it expected South Africa’s economy to grow by 1.7 percent this year.

But the economy has taken a turn for the worse after scandals surrounding Zuma and a severe drought that has hit agricultural output and worsened inflation.

The Treasury currently expects GDP growth of less than 1 percent this year.

Zuma has faced calls to resign following a Constitutional Court ruling in March that he had erred by refusing to refund the state for renovation work on his house paid for by the taxpayer.

“There is always a chance that they (Fitch) change the ‘stable’ outlook on their BBB- rating to ‘negative’, although this is not a given just yet,” said Standard Chartered’s head of Africa research, Razia Khan.

“Having just downgraded South Africa and assigned the stable outlook to the rating last December, they too could give it another six months or longer before changing the outlook.”

Analysts say a downgrade to “junk” status could be on the cards later this year if policy measures did not turn around an ailing economy.

“Fitch’s decision to hold the rating outlook at stable or to adjust the outlook to negative has valid arguments on both sides, and will therefore be a very close call,” NKC African Economics’ Hanns Spangenberg said.

“However, given the deterioration in South Africa’s economic growth outlook, as well as an uptick in political risk over the last few months, our view is that the correct decision for Fitch would be to adjust South Africa’s rating outlook to negative.”

 

(By Olivia Kumwenda-Mtambo. Editing by James Macharia and Hugh Lawson)

 

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